{ "ticker": { "uuid": "258ec308-945c-4be8-9ac6-935527653682", "symbol": "000428", "name": "Huatian Hotel Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 72.372, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 14.374, "architecture_energy": 25.027, "architecture_maturity": 40.437, "architecture_confidence": 65.886, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.41, "rotation_up": 57.86, "upward_expansion": 23.23, "deceleration": 41.33, "rotation_down": 22.84, "downward_expansion": 39.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.661333, 3.45, 3.492714, 3.572516 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.93, "trend_reference": 3.637333, "distance_from_trend": 0.080462, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.521282, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.116071, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.711295, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.094708, "excess_performance": 0.087308, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.080462, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001555, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.116071, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060177, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.067113, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.189719, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.094708, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.426659, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 446069640, "relative_activity": 4.862388, "balance": 0.426659, "dry_up": 2.456522, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082404, "annualized_volatility": 0.523451, "from_high_reference": -0.114865, "from_low_reference": 0.314381 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.637333, "fair_value_reference": 3.521282, "structural_low": 2.99, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.049768, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.059297, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.002874, "worst_return": -0.210425, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.158141, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.153213, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.114058, "worst_return": -0.162162, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.130516, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.158779, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.082353, "worst_return": -0.30888, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.366448, "energy": 87.954216, "activity_lines": [ 3.14, 3.290182, 3.50481, 3.581935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.1, "volume": 58123559, "typical_volume": 61332762.0, "trend": 3.608667, "fair_value": 3.533013, "relative_strength": -12.849291, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.01904, "energy": 85.60395, "activity_lines": [ 3.114, 3.231455, 3.452619, 3.548882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.04, "volume": 58046089, "typical_volume": 59367454.5, "trend": 3.588667, "fair_value": 3.524423, "relative_strength": -14.415503, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.938103, "energy": 81.63517, "activity_lines": [ 3.084, 3.174545, 3.398429, 3.512194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.21, "volume": 339194119, "typical_volume": 72882181.1, "trend": 3.616333, "fair_value": 3.524295, "relative_strength": 20.181659, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.996599, "energy": 11.707252, "activity_lines": [ 3.456, 3.342364, 3.459714, 3.55228 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.93, "volume": 446069640, "typical_volume": 91738793.0, "trend": 3.637333, "fair_value": 3.521282, "relative_strength": 6.711295, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 14.373741, "energy": 25.026533, "activity_lines": [ 3.661333, 3.45, 3.492714, 3.572516 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }