{ "ticker": { "uuid": "25a01bd9-e0af-44d8-8e62-c59b48fe48f9", "symbol": "301591", "name": "Nanjing CompTECH Composites Corporation", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 86.763, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -27.845, "architecture_energy": 55.893, "architecture_maturity": 21.607, "architecture_confidence": 81.377, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.4, "rotation_up": 14.02, "upward_expansion": 24.81, "deceleration": 53.11, "rotation_down": 71.7, "downward_expansion": 52.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.406666, 34.134, 36.841935, 36.580742 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 30.219999, "trend_reference": 36.413523, "distance_from_trend": -0.170089, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.80409, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.049808, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.192807, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.233769, "excess_performance": -0.241169, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.170089, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081917, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs 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"Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.038156, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.009456, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.038156, "worst_return": 0.038156, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.19283, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.106647, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.19283, "worst_return": 0.19283, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.615079, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.476976, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.615079, "worst_return": 0.615079, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"relative_strength": 8.838525, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.569676, "energy": 62.40217, "activity_lines": [ 47.901334, 45.643924, 40.724457, 38.934868 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 35.869999, "volume": 23624612, "typical_volume": 16457057.9, "trend": 36.740126, "fair_value": 31.938532, "relative_strength": -7.086886, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.807909, "energy": 31.84847, "activity_lines": [ 43.795333, 44.450012, 40.515074, 38.891358 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 28.15, "volume": 22426545, "typical_volume": 17019919.9, "trend": 36.701555, "fair_value": 31.907979, "relative_strength": -19.464023, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.048275, "energy": 17.903137, "activity_lines": [ 37.904667, 41.757442, 39.572819, 38.337156 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.41, "volume": 27454510, "typical_volume": 17760430.1, "trend": 36.608568, "fair_value": 31.863995, "relative_strength": -24.242865, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.755935, "energy": 41.80288, "activity_lines": [ 32.787333, 38.835753, 38.512685, 37.673185 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.9, "volume": 19584270, "typical_volume": 18086685.0, "trend": 36.444295, "fair_value": 31.816662, "relative_strength": -23.981027, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.134739, "energy": 49.428778, "activity_lines": [ 29.003333, 35.998182, 37.448064, 36.98231 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.219999, "volume": 22003052, "typical_volume": 18089343.55, "trend": 36.413523, "fair_value": 31.80409, "relative_strength": -15.192807, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.845301, "energy": 55.893176, "activity_lines": [ 28.406666, 34.134, 36.841935, 36.580742 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }