{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "25a326b4-7109-45f6-9a22-bd48ceb2c13c",
    "symbol": "PTNQ",
    "name": "PACER TRENDPILOT 100 ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 75.249,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 42.51,
    "architecture_energy": 24.0,
    "architecture_maturity": 58.361,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.549,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.42,
        "rotation_up": 28.43,
        "upward_expansion": 56.57,
        "deceleration": 87.95,
        "rotation_down": 33.2,
        "downward_expansion": 20.23
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        84.724093,
        85.273907,
        85.026187,
        83.267882
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 87.2167,
    "trend_reference": 81.341067,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.072235,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 71.728917,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.215921,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.974658,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.116334,
    "excess_performance": -0.07112,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072235,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029593,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.215921,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017367,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039747,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01493,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.116334,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.416931,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 351889,
      "relative_activity": 2.00319,
      "balance": 1.416931,
      "dry_up": 1.225159,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.043244,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.190611,
      "from_high_reference": -0.032538,
      "from_low_reference": 0.219042
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 81.341067,
      "fair_value_reference": 71.728917,
      "structural_low": 71.56,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.003213,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00504,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.057582,
        "worst_return": -0.064893,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.029685,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02345,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.084661,
        "worst_return": -0.09372,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.094217,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.058477,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.105853,
        "worst_return": -0.066817,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.041497,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.11055,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.159495,
        "worst_return": -0.113913,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027807,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.007135,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.000188,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.052839,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.053439,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.032202,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.024786,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.024951,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": -0.012271,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "typical_volume": 185267.15,
        "trend": 77.603944,
        "fair_value": 68.915871,
        "relative_strength": -6.324177,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 32.125981,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 77.863545,
        "fair_value": 69.271306,
        "relative_strength": -5.671756,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 85.6865,
        "volume": 126927,
        "typical_volume": 174913.85,
        "trend": 78.203412,
        "fair_value": 69.478091,
        "relative_strength": -5.467666,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 50.182229,
        "energy": 56.133006,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 85.4605,
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        "fair_value": 69.67206,
        "relative_strength": -5.29641,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.881102,
        "energy": 86.952743,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 184789.55,
        "trend": 78.721005,
        "fair_value": 69.859586,
        "relative_strength": -5.256592,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.607493,
        "energy": 89.54929,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 180435.7,
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        "fair_value": 70.056583,
        "relative_strength": -5.05064,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 86.261348,
        "energy": 94.244911,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 85.139,
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        "typical_volume": 180126.75,
        "trend": 79.239798,
        "fair_value": 70.229689,
        "relative_strength": -4.797285,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 82.003623,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 182805.9,
        "trend": 79.543749,
        "fair_value": 70.406462,
        "relative_strength": -4.814753,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 66.850143,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -4.932599,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 176094.8,
        "trend": 80.209164,
        "fair_value": 70.766706,
        "relative_strength": -4.330505,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 61.851289,
        "energy": 51.43839,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 86.0122,
        "volume": 116733,
        "typical_volume": 172704.0,
        "trend": 80.408738,
        "fair_value": 70.93773,
        "relative_strength": -4.489473,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 49.960352,
        "energy": 42.895737,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 87.4918,
        "volume": 86809,
        "typical_volume": 160545.9,
        "trend": 80.708325,
        "fair_value": 71.111233,
        "relative_strength": -4.460138,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.222486,
        "energy": 45.275676,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 83.9777,
        "volume": 134351,
        "typical_volume": 160918.25,
        "trend": 80.87684,
        "fair_value": 71.26436,
        "relative_strength": -4.205432,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.916608,
        "energy": 27.674818,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.8687,
          86.352235,
          84.45215,
          82.64107
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 82.4569,
        "volume": 163976,
        "typical_volume": 161411.8,
        "trend": 80.961013,
        "fair_value": 71.403499,
        "relative_strength": -4.297813,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.420603,
        "energy": 19.971367,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.547947,
          85.614755,
          84.504736,
          82.743009
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 82.99,
        "volume": 210651,
        "typical_volume": 166121.65,
        "trend": 81.110153,
        "fair_value": 71.550971,
        "relative_strength": -4.088983,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.073712,
        "energy": 19.914424,
        "activity_lines": [
          83.8471,
          85.028813,
          84.580989,
          82.873911
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 87.2167,
        "volume": 351889,
        "typical_volume": 175664.35,
        "trend": 81.341067,
        "fair_value": 71.728917,
        "relative_strength": -3.974658,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.510239,
        "energy": 24.000397,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.724093,
          85.273907,
          85.026187,
          83.267882
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}