{ "ticker": { "uuid": "25c3ca81-c554-4d2a-b86d-2107ef882058", "symbol": "WDS", "name": "Woodside Energy Group Ltd", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.785, "architecture_energy": 37.536, "architecture_maturity": 46.831, "architecture_confidence": 66.535, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.84, "rotation_up": 64.92, "upward_expansion": 60.38, "deceleration": 60.64, "rotation_down": 6.81, "downward_expansion": 18.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.885333, 30.768, 30.852143, 30.864723 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 31.879999, "trend_reference": 29.988972, "distance_from_trend": 0.063057, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.417103, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.254274, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.702904, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.286097, "excess_performance": 0.222391, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.063057, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077302, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price 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"A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.002669, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.017903, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.145395, "worst_return": -0.115451, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.007287, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.004442, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.115529, "worst_return": -0.124755, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.195333, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.182306, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.518733, "worst_return": -0.129083, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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52.903752, "activity_lines": [ 28.598, 29.439273, 30.651911, 30.16666 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 30.459999, "volume": 23740262, "typical_volume": 28823682.95, "trend": 29.032247, "fair_value": 25.395576, "relative_strength": 12.913035, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.682629, "energy": 35.344355, "activity_lines": [ 29.096, 29.526545, 30.579952, 30.276578 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.369999, "volume": 27094138, "typical_volume": 27105994.85, "trend": 29.360208, "fair_value": 25.40277, "relative_strength": 19.698044, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.909564, "energy": 20.417624, "activity_lines": [ 30.281999, 29.953636, 30.676, 30.491917 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.950001, "volume": 27286020, "typical_volume": 25778836.35, "trend": 29.691288, "fair_value": 25.414104, "relative_strength": 18.489839, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.102483, "energy": 40.079564, "activity_lines": [ 31.438666, 30.465818, 30.819571, 30.723516 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.879999, "volume": 22906666, "typical_volume": 23857381.85, "trend": 29.988972, "fair_value": 25.417103, "relative_strength": 10.702904, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.784585, "energy": 37.536159, "activity_lines": [ 31.885333, 30.768, 30.852143, 30.864723 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }