{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "25c5f2ce-c486-4e95-9662-d9f8c1c43cdc",
    "symbol": "XSHD",
    "name": "INVESCO S&P SMALLCAP HIGH DIVIDEND LOW VOLATILITY ETF",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.876,
    "architecture_energy": 52.771,
    "architecture_maturity": 23.078,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.936,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.17,
        "rotation_up": 64.1,
        "upward_expansion": 80.37,
        "deceleration": 58.69,
        "rotation_down": 16.69,
        "downward_expansion": 7.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        14.335301,
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        13.974958,
        13.782482
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 14.445,
    "trend_reference": 13.596893,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.062375,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 13.169925,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.096817,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.728281,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.060335,
    "excess_performance": -0.06529,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062375,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039231,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096817,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060534,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.027283,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04002,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060335,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.48793,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 111639,
      "relative_activity": 0.644969,
      "balance": 1.48793,
      "dry_up": 0.803353,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.02966,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.146842,
      "from_high_reference": -0.02532,
      "from_low_reference": 0.212012
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.596893,
      "fair_value_reference": 13.169925,
      "structural_low": 12.512039,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.011749,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.363636,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010688,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.073344,
        "worst_return": -0.044677,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.016506,
        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.166667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.074588,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": -0.040487,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 14.26,
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        "typical_volume": 179347.8,
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        "fair_value": 13.159071,
        "relative_strength": 0.269773,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 14.17,
        "volume": 139379,
        "typical_volume": 179976.45,
        "trend": 13.549465,
        "fair_value": 13.163456,
        "relative_strength": -1.335082,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.454552,
        "energy": 50.493259,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.445,
        "volume": 111639,
        "typical_volume": 173092.0,
        "trend": 13.596893,
        "fair_value": 13.169925,
        "relative_strength": -2.728281,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.875988,
        "energy": 52.770848,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}