{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "25cb503f-c1ab-4240-b233-92fbf460f2e8",
    "symbol": "1785",
    "name": "Chengdu Expressway Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "HKG",
    "country": "HK",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-21",
    "benchmark": "^HSI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 50.988,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 63.018,
    "architecture_energy": 75.034,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.957,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.125,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.61,
        "rotation_up": 74.52,
        "upward_expansion": 90.38,
        "deceleration": 44.7,
        "rotation_down": 8.28,
        "downward_expansion": 17.05
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.991333,
        1.962545,
        1.945732,
        1.938766
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 1.98,
    "trend_reference": 1.932727,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.024459,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.861371,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.063732,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.253366,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.011697,
    "excess_performance": 0.026988,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024459,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001277,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063732,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0025,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012534,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015223,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011697,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.012821,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 26000,
      "relative_activity": 0.330747,
      "balance": 2.012821,
      "dry_up": 0.524742,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020202,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.12804,
      "from_high_reference": -0.02988,
      "from_low_reference": 0.073012
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.932727,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.861371,
      "structural_low": 1.845273,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.454545,
        "median_excess_return": 0.035587,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.07767,
        "worst_return": -0.123932,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": 0.060106,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.103111,
        "worst_return": -0.127659,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.067197,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.104141,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.10582,
        "worst_return": -0.076576,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.110409,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.048658,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.200782,
        "worst_return": -0.07387,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.009009,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.075893,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.021277,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.043668,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008547,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.052381,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.067408,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.033333,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "violet",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
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        "return": 0.028986,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 115760.0,
        "trend": 1.925421,
        "fair_value": 1.822953,
        "relative_strength": -5.116302,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -5.367793,
        "energy": 5.056414,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.926042,
          1.920676,
          1.923424,
          1.925822
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 1.91051,
        "volume": 120000,
        "typical_volume": 120460.0,
        "trend": 1.926042,
        "fair_value": 1.825179,
        "relative_strength": -3.299979,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.442916,
        "energy": 14.06569,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.920451,
          1.919152,
          1.922226,
          1.92486
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 1.94,
        "volume": 107000,
        "typical_volume": 122110.0,
        "trend": 1.927336,
        "fair_value": 1.828063,
        "relative_strength": -0.268977,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.640206,
        "energy": 9.892721,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.92531,
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          1.923969,
          1.92576
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 1.92,
        "volume": 180000,
        "typical_volume": 127360.0,
        "trend": 1.928895,
        "fair_value": 1.830559,
        "relative_strength": 0.541205,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -31.693721,
        "energy": 12.929514,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.922159,
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          1.923623,
          1.925287
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 1.93,
        "volume": 78000,
        "typical_volume": 129760.0,
        "trend": 1.929855,
        "fair_value": 1.832857,
        "relative_strength": 2.085246,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -18.178082,
        "energy": 7.157859,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.925435,
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          1.924229,
          1.925358
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 1.96,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 128360.0,
        "trend": 1.930262,
        "fair_value": 1.835766,
        "relative_strength": 4.8476,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Neutral compression",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 20.363341,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.938034,
          1.932067,
          1.927554,
          1.927303
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 1.94,
        "volume": 16000,
        "typical_volume": 129160.0,
        "trend": 1.930313,
        "fair_value": 1.838598,
        "relative_strength": 7.351368,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Neutral compression",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 16.060331,
        "energy": 21.899377,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.940667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 1.9,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 128860.0,
        "trend": 1.928099,
        "fair_value": 1.840965,
        "relative_strength": 10.933489,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Neutral compression",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -9.216698,
        "energy": 5.758746,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.928,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 123660.0,
        "trend": 1.925241,
        "fair_value": 1.843112,
        "relative_strength": 7.137071,
        "stage": 1,
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.532722,
        "energy": 30.917293,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.914667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 1.89,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 123110.0,
        "trend": 1.923625,
        "fair_value": 1.845206,
        "relative_strength": 3.597581,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Neutral compression",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.097253,
        "energy": 43.642991,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.903333,
          1.915119,
          1.919137,
          1.921244
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1.92,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 115010.0,
        "trend": 1.922078,
        "fair_value": 1.84744,
        "relative_strength": 3.630598,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Neutral compression",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.696299,
        "energy": 38.169222,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.904667,
          1.915282,
          1.918966,
          1.92101
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.94,
        "volume": 266000,
        "typical_volume": 121910.0,
        "trend": 1.922129,
        "fair_value": 1.849855,
        "relative_strength": 3.079139,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Neutral compression",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -6.271275,
        "energy": 14.095151,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.915333,
          1.918909,
          1.920921,
          1.922166
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.93,
        "volume": 1000,
        "typical_volume": 119960.0,
        "trend": 1.923089,
        "fair_value": 1.85231,
        "relative_strength": -0.948786,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Neutral compression",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.596103,
        "energy": 9.958793,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.922667,
          1.920182,
          1.921827,
          1.922674
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.03,
        "volume": 127000,
        "typical_volume": 124560.0,
        "trend": 1.926761,
        "fair_value": 1.855407,
        "relative_strength": 5.112539,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.613265,
        "energy": 60.017064,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.961333,
          1.939818,
          1.932342,
          1.929572
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 2.02,
        "volume": 11000,
        "typical_volume": 109560.0,
        "trend": 1.930722,
        "fair_value": 1.858491,
        "relative_strength": 6.889323,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.020249,
        "energy": 76.908901,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.987333,
          1.955636,
          1.941202,
          1.935587
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "close": 1.98,
        "volume": 26000,
        "typical_volume": 78610.0,
        "trend": 1.932727,
        "fair_value": 1.861371,
        "relative_strength": 1.253366,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.017903,
        "energy": 75.033775,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.991333,
          1.962545,
          1.945732,
          1.938766
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}