{ "ticker": { "uuid": "25cf2d83-9f86-4566-96b3-056cc96859b9", "symbol": "IART", "name": "Integra LifeSciences Holdings", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 85.394, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.04, "architecture_energy": 42.078, "architecture_maturity": 88.605, "architecture_confidence": 72.827, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.57, "rotation_up": 44.77, "upward_expansion": 70.75, "deceleration": 62.56, "rotation_down": 27.01, "downward_expansion": 18.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.967333, 18.158545, 16.833952, 15.318323 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 17.25, "trend_reference": 13.695333, "distance_from_trend": 0.259553, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.827821, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.244343, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.108113, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.531972, "excess_performance": 0.344518, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.259553, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.152644, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.244343, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.197065, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.111081, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.186979, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.531972, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.926513, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3833950, "relative_activity": 0.815494, "balance": 2.926513, "dry_up": 1.059833, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.113489, "annualized_volatility": 0.574064, "from_high_reference": -0.158126, "from_low_reference": 0.982759 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.695333, "fair_value_reference": 22.827821, "structural_low": 8.7, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.081958, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.055686, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.0574, "worst_return": -0.245249, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.220886, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.408928, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.027526, "worst_return": -0.438792, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.33236, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.546694, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.109896, "worst_return": -0.528951, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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68.060879, "activity_lines": [ 18.357333, 17.575273, 15.229476, 14.040258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.25, "volume": 4907311, "typical_volume": 4635897.65, "trend": 13.179333, "fair_value": 23.342628, "relative_strength": 29.954098, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.318883, "energy": 67.921232, "activity_lines": [ 18.710667, 18.037091, 15.788143, 14.446108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.79, "volume": 3814227, "typical_volume": 4602440.2, "trend": 13.418333, "fair_value": 23.177821, "relative_strength": 35.073072, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.145298, "energy": 67.394031, "activity_lines": [ 19.145333, 18.500182, 16.360762, 14.872602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.65, "volume": 7375243, "typical_volume": 4740622.3, "trend": 13.573, "fair_value": 22.997115, "relative_strength": 12.828576, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.949733, "energy": 51.691472, "activity_lines": [ 18.386, 18.288909, 16.586429, 15.081097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.25, "volume": 3833950, "typical_volume": 4701382.75, "trend": 13.695333, "fair_value": 22.827821, "relative_strength": 11.108113, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.040471, "energy": 42.078247, "activity_lines": [ 17.967333, 18.158545, 16.833952, 15.318323 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }