{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "25db7bb5-8c14-4c50-bc6c-37b515b8ac78",
    "symbol": "603030",
    "name": "Shanghai Trendzone Holdings Group Co.,Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.368,
    "architecture_energy": 67.761,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.944,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.237,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.05,
        "rotation_up": 15.64,
        "upward_expansion": 14.09,
        "deceleration": 42.42,
        "rotation_down": 66.69,
        "downward_expansion": 87.42
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.910667,
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        2.195905,
        2.312774
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 2.02,
    "trend_reference": 2.484,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.186795,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.597308,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.222272,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -26.094976,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.296167,
    "excess_performance": -0.252963,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.186795,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.1361,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.222272,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.391154,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.26095,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.234609,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.296167,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.248839,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 157625939,
      "relative_activity": 0.987886,
      "balance": 0.248839,
      "dry_up": 1.194901,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 6
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.112719,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.465399,
      "from_high_reference": -0.510896,
      "from_low_reference": 0.224242
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.484,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.597308,
      "structural_low": 1.65,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": -0.020349,
        "positive_rate": 0.344828,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.62069,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026728,
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        "best_return": 0.430657,
        "worst_return": -0.238889,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "positive_rate": 0.3,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.274725,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.07717,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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      },
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 148939281.2,
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        "fair_value": 2.618846,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -78.830765,
        "energy": 83.14735,
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          2.336286,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.75,
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        "typical_volume": 152337306.8,
        "trend": 2.554667,
        "fair_value": 2.609679,
        "relative_strength": -34.806886,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -80.260231,
        "energy": 84.960836,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.89,
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          2.272,
          2.386968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.9,
        "volume": 191426124,
        "typical_volume": 157496142.25,
        "trend": 2.515333,
        "fair_value": 2.603205,
        "relative_strength": -28.981051,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.214208,
        "energy": 75.550739,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.876667,
          1.987091,
          2.226524,
          2.344731
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.02,
        "volume": 157625939,
        "typical_volume": 159558764.8,
        "trend": 2.484,
        "fair_value": 2.597308,
        "relative_strength": -26.094976,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.36752,
        "energy": 67.760726,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.910667,
          1.970545,
          2.195905,
          2.312774
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}