{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "25de3f76-47c5-4ef0-9f33-33e7f140a179",
    "symbol": "EOCT",
    "name": "INNOVATOR ETFS TRUST EMERGING MKTS PWR BUFFER ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 50.014,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.271,
    "architecture_energy": 49.847,
    "architecture_maturity": 49.247,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.839,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.68,
        "rotation_up": 51.11,
        "upward_expansion": 77.64,
        "deceleration": 66.4,
        "rotation_down": 24.94,
        "downward_expansion": 6.64
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        34.213027,
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        33.949221,
        33.64639
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 34.5788,
    "trend_reference": 33.300373,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.038391,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.557387,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.254792,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.401905,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.051347,
    "excess_performance": -0.074278,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038391,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026496,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.254792,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021842,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.044019,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030088,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051347,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.640762,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 40891,
      "relative_activity": 0.750778,
      "balance": 3.640762,
      "dry_up": 0.557773,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013463,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.094859,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000324,
      "from_low_reference": 0.202653
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 33.300373,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.557387,
      "structural_low": 31.32,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.005151,
        "positive_rate": 0.633333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.633333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007834,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
        "best_return": 0.071946,
        "worst_return": -0.054681,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "positive_rate": 0.9,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.9,
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        "regime_survival": 0.7,
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        "worst_return": -0.074855,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.078411,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025521,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.041954,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.107679,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.065157,
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        "worst_return": 0.022237,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2023-10-13",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2023-12-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 74738.2,
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        "relative_strength": -0.36183,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 57525.15,
        "trend": 32.993487,
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        "relative_strength": -3.206018,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 68.072644,
        "energy": 62.571214,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.79,
        "volume": 25729,
        "typical_volume": 57276.75,
        "trend": 33.07508,
        "fair_value": 27.360574,
        "relative_strength": -2.855841,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.448581,
        "energy": 41.056139,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.968667,
          33.945924,
          33.711543,
          33.437314
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 33.9424,
        "volume": 30474,
        "typical_volume": 55954.95,
        "trend": 33.152993,
        "fair_value": 27.420654,
        "relative_strength": -1.847361,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.100052,
        "energy": 33.418042,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.9438,
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          33.772715,
          33.49327
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 34.1723,
        "volume": 24422,
        "typical_volume": 53454.45,
        "trend": 33.224747,
        "fair_value": 27.486079,
        "relative_strength": -2.249108,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.447302,
        "energy": 40.85931,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.017407,
          33.996853,
          33.846863,
          33.559031
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 34.5788,
        "volume": 40891,
        "typical_volume": 54464.8,
        "trend": 33.300373,
        "fair_value": 27.557387,
        "relative_strength": -4.401905,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.271166,
        "energy": 49.847393,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.213027,
          34.108395,
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          33.64639
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}