{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "25e29fe7-e17e-4960-8372-84f6cf22b8c8",
    "symbol": "600231",
    "name": "Lingyuan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -63.216,
    "architecture_energy": 57.105,
    "architecture_maturity": 76.667,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.771,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.71,
        "rotation_up": 27.18,
        "upward_expansion": 10.47,
        "deceleration": 60.93,
        "rotation_down": 52.69,
        "downward_expansion": 83.8
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.668,
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        1.804714,
        1.904215
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 1.68,
    "trend_reference": 2.028333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.171734,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1.933397,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.131063,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -19.222342,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.305785,
    "excess_performance": -0.262581,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.171734,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079286,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.131063,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.233232,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.192223,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.137864,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.305785,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.400288,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 66760891,
      "relative_activity": 0.915965,
      "balance": 0.400288,
      "dry_up": 1.065248,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.07326,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.361953,
      "from_high_reference": -0.366038,
      "from_low_reference": 0.112583
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.028333,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.933397,
      "structural_low": 1.51,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": -0.007463,
        "positive_rate": 0.481481,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.518519,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007478,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
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        "worst_return": -0.182741,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.026999,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.22381,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.064538,
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        "worst_return": -0.408257,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.252294,
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      }
    ],
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      },
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 101486300.45,
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        "fair_value": 1.940385,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.72,
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        "typical_volume": 94686628.0,
        "trend": 2.043667,
        "fair_value": 1.936987,
        "relative_strength": -15.425114,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.184816,
        "energy": 63.644079,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.656,
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          1.827381,
          1.927677
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.68,
        "volume": 66760891,
        "typical_volume": 72885834.6,
        "trend": 2.028333,
        "fair_value": 1.933397,
        "relative_strength": -19.222342,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.216216,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}