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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.514, "architecture_energy": 56.087, "architecture_maturity": 91.355, "architecture_confidence": 77.218, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.75, "rotation_up": 46.49, "upward_expansion": 72.5, "deceleration": 85.5, "rotation_down": 28.0, "downward_expansion": 22.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 5165.131315, 5177.357014, 5110.556411, 5023.164791 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 5191.669922, "trend_reference": 4923.645654, "distance_from_trend": 0.054436, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4355.757193, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.19191, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.378294, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.108556, "excess_performance": 0.163223, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.054436, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033315, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.19191, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004237, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.053783, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.08563, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.108556, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 11.195489, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1236, "relative_activity": 0.019253, "balance": 11.195489, "dry_up": 0.005296, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.009282, "annualized_volatility": 0.109277, "from_high_reference": -0.016543, "from_low_reference": 0.16497 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4923.645654, "fair_value_reference": 4355.757193, "structural_low": 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"volume": 37, "typical_volume": 64136.95, "trend": 4912.317806, "fair_value": 4344.701947, "relative_strength": 3.464211, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.622542, "energy": 61.635724, "activity_lines": [ 5166.995345, 5170.584792, 5090.981608, 5005.142074 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5191.669922, "volume": 1236, "typical_volume": 64196.95, "trend": 4923.645654, "fair_value": 4355.757193, "relative_strength": 5.378294, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.51385, "energy": 56.086803, "activity_lines": [ 5165.131315, 5177.357014, 5110.556411, 5023.164791 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }