{ "ticker": { "uuid": "260804af-1e63-48d6-ab38-61fb63ac7657", "symbol": "SQ", "name": "Sahakol Equipment Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.772, "architecture_energy": 52.34, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.32, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.69, "rotation_up": 28.6, "upward_expansion": 8.15, "deceleration": 60.06, "rotation_down": 44.83, "downward_expansion": 76.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.186667, 0.188727, 0.203619, 0.223441 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.17, "trend_reference": 0.251667, "distance_from_trend": -0.324503, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.732519, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.767924, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -57.410405, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.346154, "excess_performance": -0.538479, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.324503, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.197662, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.767924, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09995, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.574104, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069979, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.346154, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.33969, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7107200, "relative_activity": 2.120549, "balance": 0.33969, "dry_up": 0.925831, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.144796, "annualized_volatility": 0.755096, "from_high_reference": -0.77027, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.251667, "fair_value_reference": 0.732519, "structural_low": 0.17, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 46, "median_return": -0.016271, "positive_rate": 0.369565, "directional_follow_through": 0.608696, "median_excess_return": -0.025952, "regime_survival": 0.869565, "best_return": 0.223881, "worst_return": -0.297297, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.056716, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.6875, "median_excess_return": -0.077348, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.081817, "worst_return": -0.357143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.177083, "positive_rate": 0.111111, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": -0.088424, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.112351, "worst_return": -0.55, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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-65.540687, "energy": 81.830881, "activity_lines": [ 0.185333, 0.196, 0.226333, 0.249161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.2, "volume": 3413700, "typical_volume": 3329955.0, "trend": 0.278333, "fair_value": 0.755444, "relative_strength": -56.003218, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.515789, "energy": 60.648718, "activity_lines": [ 0.19, 0.193818, 0.221571, 0.24372 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.2, "volume": 868800, "typical_volume": 3175335.0, "trend": 0.272, "fair_value": 0.74967, "relative_strength": -55.218093, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.315171, "energy": 49.405153, "activity_lines": [ 0.194667, 0.192909, 0.217381, 0.238667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.21, "volume": 1169200, "typical_volume": 3086405.0, "trend": 0.265667, "fair_value": 0.74402, "relative_strength": -51.699357, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.415919, "energy": 40.197319, "activity_lines": [ 0.200667, 0.195091, 0.214571, 0.234667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.18, "volume": 3266800, "typical_volume": 3105230.0, "trend": 0.258333, "fair_value": 0.73824, "relative_strength": -56.751091, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.537316, "energy": 43.116219, "activity_lines": [ 0.195333, 0.192727, 0.209286, 0.22914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.17, "volume": 7107200, "typical_volume": 3351585.0, "trend": 0.251667, "fair_value": 0.732519, "relative_strength": -57.410405, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.771542, "energy": 52.340381, "activity_lines": [ 0.186667, 0.188727, 0.203619, 0.223441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }