{ "ticker": { "uuid": "260b472b-84ac-4e20-88ef-41c5c20d1013", "symbol": "PERF", "name": "Perfect Corp.", "exchange": "NYSE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "model_version": "ta-0.1.0", "as_of_week": "2026-07-31", "benchmark": "SPY", "history_weeks": 283, "chart_window_weeks": 156, "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "stage_color": "blue", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "stage_age_weeks": 4, "hard_stage_exit": false, "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "transition_score": 80.039, "is_transition_watch": true, "confidence": 88.008, "composite_score": 79.239, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_color": "green", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.568, "architecture_energy": 89.206, "architecture_maturity": 18.363, "architecture_confidence": 75.486, "architecture_age_weeks": 3, "is_reacceleration_watch": false, "architecture": { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.568, "energy": 89.206, "maturity": 18.363, "confidence": 75.486, "confirmation": 64.347, "age_weeks": 3, "candidate": null, "candidate_weeks": 0, "hard_reversal": false, "reacceleration_watch": false, "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Activity Lines are positively ordered above the 30-week Trend Line, with rising slopes and price acceptance. Fan expansion measures the energy of the move; contraction inside this regime warns that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.63, "rotation_up": 81.75, "upward_expansion": 97.66, "deceleration": 41.83, "rotation_down": 8.09, "downward_expansion": 21.99 }, "activity_lines": { "5": 1.907333, "10": 1.829818, "20": 1.769762, "30": 1.716774 }, "activity_slopes": { "5": 2.769739, "10": 1.727529, "20": 1.176709, "30": 0.851769 }, "bullish_order": 1.0, "bearish_order": 0.0, "fan_width_atr": 2.294779, "fan_width_change_4": 1.864612, "fan_width_percentile": 1.0, "fast_slow_gap_atr": 1.508999, "fast_slow_gap_change_4": 1.234395, "price_acceptance": 0.833333, "current_fan_distance_atr": 0.152536, "accepted_above": 0.833333, "accepted_below": 0.0, "crossing_density": 0.25 }, "interpretation": { "headline": "Price is repairing upward toward current Fair Value.", "body": "The market remains below the long-term Fair Value anchor, so the recovery stays in Stage 1. A narrowing gap, improving relative strength, range compression and eventual resistance absorption determine whether it can graduate to Stage 2.", "phase": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "transition_context": "The evidence score for the next canonical transition is 80/100." }, "latest_close": 1.92, "sma_30": 1.663, "distance_from_sma_30": 0.15454, "sma_30_slope": -0.004192, "fair_value": 2.148301, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.106271, "fair_value_gap_change_13": 0.182174, "is_fair_value_repair": true, "mansfield_rs": 0.328914, "mansfield_rs_change_13": 16.23483, "range_position_52": 0.73913, "returns": { "13": 0.122807, "26": 0.230769, "52": 0.032258 }, "relative_returns": { "26": 0.145449, "52": -0.182577 }, "stage_scores": { "1": 65.4, "2": 44.0, "3": 41.87, "4": 20.04 }, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs 30-week average", "positive": true, "value": 0.15454, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "30-week slope", "positive": false, "value": -0.004192, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.106271, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "13-week Fair Value gap", "positive": true, "value": 0.182174, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Mansfield RS vs SPY", "positive": true, "value": 0.003289, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "13-week RS change", "positive": true, "value": 0.162348, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "26-week price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.230769, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "13-week volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.476869, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1475075, "ratio_20": 1.299532, "up_down_ratio_13": 2.476869, "dry_up_ratio": 2.118964, "accumulation_weeks": 2, "distribution_weeks": 1 }, "base": { "high_26": 1.94, "low_26": 1.24, "depth": 0.360825, "compression": 0.485714, "breakout_distance": -0.010309 }, "risk": { "atr_percent": 0.04325, "annualized_volatility": 0.462263, "drawdown_from_52_high": 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"architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.821835, "architecture_energy": 89.119408, "activity_5": 1.875333, "activity_10": 1.800727, "activity_20": 1.749095, "activity_30": 1.699785 }, { "week": "2026-07-31", "open": 1.92, "high": 1.93, "low": 1.915, "close": 1.92, "volume": 1475075, "sma_30": 1.663, "fair_value_history": 2.148301, "mansfield_rs": 0.328914, "stage": 1, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.568201, "architecture_energy": 89.206334, "activity_5": 1.907333, "activity_10": 1.829818, "activity_20": 1.769762, "activity_30": 1.716774 } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed weekly OHLCV", "trend": "30-week simple moving average; slope compares the current value with ten completed weeks earlier", "fair_value": "current horizontal Fair Value is the arithmetic mean of up to 156 completed weekly closes; Stage 1 repair measures whether price is below and rising toward that anchor", "relative_strength": "Mansfield-style relative performance line: ticker/SPY divided by its trailing 52-week mean, minus one", "classification": "Trend Architecture uses the Activity Line position as a direction gate, then classifies ordering, four-week slopes, ATR-normalized fan width, fast/slow rotation and six-week price acceptance. Ordinary regime changes require two completed observations; a fully aligned reversal beyond the fan can change immediately.", "architecture_boundary": "The green/red/orange Trend gate is derived from the same Activity Lines and is therefore not counted as an independent vote. Relative strength and volume alter confirmation, while point-in-time Fair Value supplies context rather than determining the regime.", "admissibility": "Stage 2 cannot persist when price is more than 5% below the 30-week average or 8% below current Fair Value, the ten-week average slope is below -2%, Mansfield RS is below -8, or the 26-week return is below -15%. Stage 4 requires price no more than 5% above the average, RS no higher than +8, and at least one deterioration test: slope at or below +1.5%, 13-week return at or below -10%, or 26-week return at or below -12%. These are exit boundaries, not entry signals.", "confidence": "separation between the leading and runner-up stage evidence scores; not forecast probability" }, "historical_outcomes": [ { "weeks": 4, "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.078286, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": -0.079637, "stage_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.155963, "worst_return": -0.238095, "sufficient": true }, { "weeks": 13, "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.208654, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.242976, "stage_survival": 0.25, "best_return": -0.031915, "worst_return": -0.290155, "sufficient": false }, { "weeks": 26, "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.254552, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.31124, "stage_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.206422, "worst_return": -0.302682, "sufficient": false }, { "weeks": 52, "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 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