{ "ticker": { "uuid": "260be922-9f14-4d3c-b34b-8fb49f1f0cfa", "symbol": "595", "name": "GKE Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -79.862, "architecture_energy": 81.514, "architecture_maturity": 62.964, "architecture_confidence": 80.659, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.62, "rotation_up": 8.83, "upward_expansion": 17.53, "deceleration": 37.12, "rotation_down": 80.57, "downward_expansion": 93.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.0722, 0.0742, 0.076171, 0.077074 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.07, "trend_reference": 0.078834, "distance_from_trend": -0.112053, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.07581, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.076642, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.152703, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.166667, "excess_performance": -0.321502, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.112053, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072028, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.076642, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.171885, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.321527, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.164779, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.166667, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.201054, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7942100, "relative_activity": 1.868846, "balance": 0.201054, "dry_up": 1.270756, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048352, "annualized_volatility": 0.200532, "from_high_reference": -0.348589, "from_low_reference": 0.014493 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.078834, "fair_value_reference": 0.07581, "structural_low": 0.069, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.011266, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.53125, "median_excess_return": -0.023355, "regime_survival": 0.90625, "best_return": 0.10785, "worst_return": -0.107839, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.037743, "positive_rate": 0.090909, "directional_follow_through": 0.909091, "median_excess_return": -0.074543, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.014262, "worst_return": -0.146341, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.123563, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.124353, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.089552, "worst_return": -0.166667, "sufficient": true }, { 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34.678553, "activity_lines": [ 0.077867, 0.078382, 0.078405, 0.079573 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.077, "volume": 2014000, "typical_volume": 4242390.0, "trend": 0.081661, "fair_value": 0.075598, "relative_strength": -24.994197, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.272135, "energy": 37.44156, "activity_lines": [ 0.077533, 0.078036, 0.078238, 0.079239 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.073, "volume": 5290300, "typical_volume": 4294665.0, "trend": 0.081013, "fair_value": 0.075673, "relative_strength": -28.85543, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.704612, "energy": 60.848099, "activity_lines": [ 0.075933, 0.077018, 0.077733, 0.07868 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.074, "volume": 2054100, "typical_volume": 4064735.0, "trend": 0.080331, "fair_value": 0.075732, "relative_strength": -28.279016, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.243026, "energy": 63.369315, "activity_lines": [ 0.075067, 0.076345, 0.077376, 0.078228 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.072, "volume": 6315000, "typical_volume": 4079820.0, "trend": 0.079549, "fair_value": 0.075777, "relative_strength": -30.048579, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.602201, "energy": 72.12653, "activity_lines": [ 0.0738, 0.0754, 0.076862, 0.07769 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.07, "volume": 7942100, "typical_volume": 4249735.0, "trend": 0.078834, "fair_value": 0.07581, "relative_strength": -32.152703, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.861798, "energy": 81.514172, "activity_lines": [ 0.0722, 0.0742, 0.076171, 0.077074 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }