{ "ticker": { "uuid": "26190f4c-90d5-4400-be73-d89029f55a9c", "symbol": "603366", "name": "Solareast Holdings Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.632, "architecture_energy": 46.352, "architecture_maturity": 96.291, "architecture_confidence": 71.892, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.86, "rotation_up": 26.47, "upward_expansion": 14.42, "deceleration": 66.85, "rotation_down": 45.35, "downward_expansion": 73.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.666, 6.665509, 7.098148, 7.646745 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.8, "trend_reference": 8.338885, "distance_from_trend": -0.184543, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.815216, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.129903, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.915585, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.296066, "excess_performance": -0.252862, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.184543, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.112245, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.129903, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.248698, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.239156, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047465, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.296066, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.199517, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 58562619, "relative_activity": 0.756731, "balance": 0.199517, "dry_up": 0.80982, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093447, "annualized_volatility": 0.43499, "from_high_reference": -0.492537, "from_low_reference": 0.098546 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.338885, "fair_value_reference": 7.815216, "structural_low": 6.19, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.025281, "positive_rate": 0.551724, "directional_follow_through": 0.448276, "median_excess_return": -0.010663, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.105033, "worst_return": -0.176123, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.016646, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.013067, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.932615, "worst_return": -0.262557, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.013177, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.02306, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 2.026954, "worst_return": -0.171441, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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55.536904, "activity_lines": [ 6.621333, 6.664018, 7.192322, 7.752071 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.8, "volume": 58562619, "typical_volume": 77388982.3, "trend": 8.338885, "fair_value": 7.815216, "relative_strength": -23.915585, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.632235, "energy": 46.35154, "activity_lines": [ 6.666, 6.665509, 7.098148, 7.646745 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }