{ "ticker": { "uuid": "26217278-1163-474b-86e4-9fa390517fd6", "symbol": "ANAB", "name": "AnaptysBio Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 17.539, "architecture_energy": 16.747, "architecture_maturity": 43.289, "architecture_confidence": 88.413, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.01, "rotation_up": 24.2, "upward_expansion": 49.97, "deceleration": 82.14, "rotation_down": 33.42, "downward_expansion": 25.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 56.088667, 57.974909, 58.066095, 54.786652 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 56.61, "trend_reference": 49.261111, "distance_from_trend": 0.149182, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.819487, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.480774, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 33.645942, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.707521, "excess_performance": 0.520067, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.149182, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.244648, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.480774, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.165229, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.336459, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.815265, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.707521, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.724931, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2003704, "relative_activity": 0.637744, "balance": 0.724931, "dry_up": 1.125019, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.136975, "annualized_volatility": 0.681466, "from_high_reference": -0.217662, "from_low_reference": 3.96399 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.261111, "fair_value_reference": 22.819487, "structural_low": 31.233333, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.035703, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.012864, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.144787, "worst_return": -0.192293, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.028935, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.088274, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.43168, "worst_return": -0.291219, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.137742, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.089863, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.671529, "worst_return": -0.273435, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.422365, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.352295, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.116153, "worst_return": -0.275257, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-01-26", "end": "2024-03-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.082169, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-03-29", "end": "2024-07-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.33659, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-07-19", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.008309, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.358519, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.179474, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.302405, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.144787, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.032159, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.014677, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", 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60.512, 57.56727, 52.643541 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 58.0, "volume": 4608875, "typical_volume": 3195280.45, "trend": 46.895333, "fair_value": 22.001795, "relative_strength": 49.69657, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.468496, "energy": 41.326809, "activity_lines": [ 61.975333, 60.061636, 58.056349, 53.414337 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 54.15, "volume": 4668772, "typical_volume": 3270476.75, "trend": 47.587, "fair_value": 22.275748, "relative_strength": 39.74525, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.247653, "energy": 31.116256, "activity_lines": [ 59.460667, 59.117273, 58.077333, 53.88238 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.36, "volume": 2857258, "typical_volume": 3250425.15, "trend": 48.366778, "fair_value": 22.537842, "relative_strength": 34.769462, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.263251, "energy": 15.143077, "activity_lines": [ 56.906667, 58.192909, 57.941127, 54.254832 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 56.61, "volume": 2003704, "typical_volume": 3141860.15, "trend": 49.261111, "fair_value": 22.819487, "relative_strength": 33.645942, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.538974, "energy": 16.747055, "activity_lines": [ 56.088667, 57.974909, 58.066095, 54.786652 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }