{ "ticker": { "uuid": "263b0950-6f2b-4d40-9b0a-a8395d9430bc", "symbol": "1AZ", "name": "Audience Analytics Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 71.123, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.229, "architecture_energy": 69.171, "architecture_maturity": 6.553, "architecture_confidence": 89.701, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.02, "rotation_up": 12.27, "upward_expansion": 16.13, "deceleration": 37.42, "rotation_down": 69.93, "downward_expansion": 91.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.235, 0.236727, 0.241359, 0.242361 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.235, "trend_reference": 0.242745, "distance_from_trend": -0.031907, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.234179, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.003505, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.509325, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.0036, "excess_performance": -0.158435, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.031907, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004719, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.003505, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.145047, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.195093, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.117927, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.0036, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 153800, "relative_activity": 1.825736, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 1.806149, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02455, "annualized_volatility": 0.221032, "from_high_reference": -0.196452, "from_low_reference": 0.083044 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.242745, "fair_value_reference": 0.234179, "structural_low": 0.216981, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.018082, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.35519, "worst_return": -0.076923, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.034393, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.053026, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.208333, "worst_return": -0.038462, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.124075, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.018949, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.267758, "worst_return": -0.019608, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.548475, "energy": 23.166329, "activity_lines": [ 0.241333, 0.245, 0.246053, 0.245069 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.235, "volume": 26500, "typical_volume": 77030.0, "trend": 0.243487, "fair_value": 0.233316, "relative_strength": -19.498928, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.205673, "energy": 38.045786, "activity_lines": [ 0.238667, 0.242636, 0.245057, 0.24454 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.235, "volume": 206600, "typical_volume": 78360.0, "trend": 0.243774, "fair_value": 0.233511, "relative_strength": -19.196614, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.933773, "energy": 45.743005, "activity_lines": [ 0.237, 0.240545, 0.244087, 0.243992 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.235, "volume": 175900, "typical_volume": 80535.0, "trend": 0.243431, "fair_value": 0.233809, "relative_strength": -19.591345, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.133109, "energy": 62.276528, "activity_lines": [ 0.236, 0.239, 0.243189, 0.243426 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.235, "volume": 72300, "typical_volume": 78745.0, "trend": 0.243088, "fair_value": 0.233984, "relative_strength": -19.348969, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.965478, "energy": 64.845808, "activity_lines": [ 0.235333, 0.237727, 0.242272, 0.242882 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.235, "volume": 153800, "typical_volume": 84240.0, "trend": 0.242745, "fair_value": 0.234179, "relative_strength": -19.509325, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.228872, "energy": 69.170535, "activity_lines": [ 0.235, 0.236727, 0.241359, 0.242361 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }