{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2640d330-5460-4aec-98fa-bd83173fd322", "symbol": "NLCINDIA", "name": "NLC India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 2.522, "architecture_energy": 18.534, "architecture_maturity": 43.161, "architecture_confidence": 72.231, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.29, "rotation_up": 15.28, "upward_expansion": 41.94, "deceleration": 80.51, "rotation_down": 42.86, "downward_expansion": 35.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 299.899996, 305.621816, 313.67738, 306.164487 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 304.399994, "trend_reference": 293.372889, "distance_from_trend": 0.037587, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 237.447481, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.281968, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 11.12261, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.187902, "excess_performance": 0.231612, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.037587, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079802, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.281968, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.215123, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.111226, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.232871, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.187902, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.824357, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7960224, "relative_activity": 0.394704, "balance": 2.824357, "dry_up": 0.475765, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071717, "annualized_volatility": 0.278555, "from_high_reference": -0.215059, "from_low_reference": 0.398893 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 293.372889, "fair_value_reference": 237.447481, "structural_low": 236.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.058859, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.01738, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.182139, "worst_return": -0.1179, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.10923, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.032787, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.179081, "worst_return": -0.011728, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.252697, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.138566, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.481464, "worst_return": 0.034676, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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11.641773, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.787976, "energy": 15.814351, "activity_lines": [ 302.546663, 311.744544, 314.994999, 304.851508 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 298.0, "volume": 10477756, "typical_volume": 20430770.85, "trend": 291.521405, "fair_value": 236.305153, "relative_strength": 10.198882, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.776223, "energy": 18.454336, "activity_lines": [ 299.419997, 307.677272, 314.123095, 305.33361 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 304.399994, "volume": 7960224, "typical_volume": 20167570.9, "trend": 293.372889, "fair_value": 237.447481, "relative_strength": 11.12261, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.521556, "energy": 18.533836, "activity_lines": [ 299.899996, 305.621816, 313.67738, 306.164487 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }