{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2670c36a-6052-41e0-a3f7-fde7a9d91ed8",
    "symbol": "SECT",
    "name": "MAIN SECTOR ROTATION ETF",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 73.196,
    "architecture_energy": 45.885,
    "architecture_maturity": 68.56,
    "architecture_confidence": 55.5,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.75,
        "rotation_up": 44.89,
        "upward_expansion": 73.07,
        "deceleration": 70.49,
        "rotation_down": 28.13,
        "downward_expansion": 11.07
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 72.93,
    "trend_reference": 66.773502,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.0922,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 55.281882,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.319239,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.116373,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.13699,
    "excess_performance": 0.011365,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0922,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036278,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.319239,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017559,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001164,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004777,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13699,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.930281,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 542628,
      "relative_activity": 1.101123,
      "balance": 1.930281,
      "dry_up": 1.062518,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.029968,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.153964,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004369,
      "from_low_reference": 0.249015
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 55.281882,
      "structural_low": 58.39,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.014877,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001069,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.060799,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 65.980123,
        "fair_value": 54.576048,
        "relative_strength": 0.912237,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 69.229899,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 507544.35,
        "trend": 66.171145,
        "fair_value": 54.746592,
        "relative_strength": 0.045886,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 60.551293,
        "energy": 48.652572,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 70.08,
        "volume": 461847,
        "typical_volume": 492796.65,
        "trend": 66.3355,
        "fair_value": 54.914872,
        "relative_strength": 0.697508,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.344823,
        "energy": 40.346174,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 70.17,
        "volume": 557081,
        "typical_volume": 490898.5,
        "trend": 66.528428,
        "fair_value": 55.089405,
        "relative_strength": -0.270512,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.129629,
        "energy": 33.801543,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.378667,
          70.566889,
          69.624662,
          68.110903
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 72.93,
        "volume": 542628,
        "typical_volume": 492795.2,
        "trend": 66.773502,
        "fair_value": 55.281882,
        "relative_strength": 0.116373,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.195596,
        "energy": 45.885085,
        "activity_lines": [
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          70.11159,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}