{ "ticker": { "uuid": "26854289-8e19-4d35-bb99-5b3d88fb2a69", "symbol": "FNAC", "name": "Fnac Darty SA", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 54.064, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 42.351, "architecture_energy": 32.64, "architecture_maturity": 41.294, "architecture_confidence": 50.902, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.79, "rotation_up": 40.59, "upward_expansion": 65.81, "deceleration": 67.73, "rotation_down": 24.97, "downward_expansion": 9.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.566665, 34.561817, 34.489769, 34.535304 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 34.549999, "trend_reference": 34.349716, "distance_from_trend": 0.005831, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.99721, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.191494, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.990092, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.025388, "excess_performance": -0.078699, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.005831, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061934, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.191494, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002402, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.009901, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071921, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.025388, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.74916, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 60141, "relative_activity": 1.015551, "balance": 0.74916, "dry_up": 0.621133, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.003868, "annualized_volatility": 0.047432, "from_high_reference": -0.038943, "from_low_reference": 0.31619 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.349716, "fair_value_reference": 28.99721, "structural_low": 34.007093, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.002942, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.006645, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.128788, "worst_return": -0.145631, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.039416, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.074191, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.090253, "worst_return": -0.176018, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.097087, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.116774, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.042763, "worst_return": -0.290558, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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34.500717, 34.216162 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 34.549999, "volume": 40851, "typical_volume": 134760.65, "trend": 33.449716, "fair_value": 28.899576, "relative_strength": 3.557032, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.579063, "energy": 55.278475, "activity_lines": [ 34.559999, 34.480624, 34.488377, 34.300374 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 34.549999, "volume": 30926, "typical_volume": 129657.55, "trend": 33.639716, "fair_value": 28.908503, "relative_strength": 5.803575, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.062556, "energy": 52.717311, "activity_lines": [ 34.559999, 34.505247, 34.480084, 34.37136 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.5, "volume": 38571, "typical_volume": 122369.9, "trend": 33.836383, "fair_value": 28.920917, "relative_strength": 5.734494, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.966021, "energy": 44.537464, "activity_lines": [ 34.539999, 34.516208, 34.471315, 34.426862 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.599998, "volume": 21454, "typical_volume": 97490.7, "trend": 34.028049, "fair_value": 28.945636, "relative_strength": 5.443214, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.624894, "energy": 41.072146, "activity_lines": [ 34.556666, 34.539922, 34.476355, 34.476128 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.599998, "volume": 26968, "typical_volume": 73730.9, "trend": 34.204716, "fair_value": 28.972811, "relative_strength": 3.648017, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.261705, "energy": 35.546317, "activity_lines": [ 34.569999, 34.558155, 34.484253, 34.513028 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.549999, "volume": 60141, "typical_volume": 59220.05, "trend": 34.349716, "fair_value": 28.99721, "relative_strength": 0.990092, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.351248, "energy": 32.640192, "activity_lines": [ 34.566665, 34.561817, 34.489769, 34.535304 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }