{ "ticker": { "uuid": "26883762-b2fd-46f9-8550-5a49cc66890e", "symbol": "LGA", "name": "LG Display Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.855, "architecture_energy": 82.18, "architecture_maturity": 21.006, "architecture_confidence": 81.075, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.22, "rotation_up": 8.38, "upward_expansion": 19.79, "deceleration": 37.08, "rotation_down": 79.03, "downward_expansion": 95.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.805333, 3.056, 3.448571, 3.535226 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2.84, "trend_reference": 3.606667, "distance_from_trend": -0.212569, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.633482, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.218381, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -38.732898, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.149701, "excess_performance": -0.323947, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.212569, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030987, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.218381, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.199411, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.387329, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.257719, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.149701, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.172177, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2907, "relative_activity": 6.792056, "balance": 1.172177, "dry_up": 1.698014, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.139762, "annualized_volatility": 0.720383, "from_high_reference": -0.415638, "from_low_reference": 0.163934 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.606667, "fair_value_reference": 3.633482, "structural_low": 2.44, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": 0.006536, "positive_rate": 0.514286, "directional_follow_through": 0.457143, "median_excess_return": -0.021112, "regime_survival": 0.771429, "best_return": 0.30303, "worst_return": -0.192053, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.018766, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.0191, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.265152, "worst_return": -0.179661, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.034172, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.127022, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.643939, "worst_return": -0.237795, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.027778, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.102151, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.196429, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.214953, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.023529, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.110465, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.050691, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.24186, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.100775, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 4.327891, "volume": 42, "typical_volume": 220.9, "trend": 5.198599, "fair_value": 6.2673, "relative_strength": -13.75809, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 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3.729935, "relative_strength": -11.07577, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.376342, "energy": 63.986288, "activity_lines": [ 4.269333, 4.131273, 3.929333, 3.834581 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 4.08, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 352.4, "trend": 3.758, "fair_value": 3.720023, "relative_strength": -14.166934, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.237348, "energy": 49.274874, "activity_lines": [ 4.202667, 4.137455, 3.957143, 3.856344 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 3.36, "volume": 1374, "typical_volume": 421.1, "trend": 3.745333, "fair_value": 3.707037, "relative_strength": -27.69664, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.98391, "energy": 10.813555, "activity_lines": [ 3.897333, 4.008, 3.912857, 3.830667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 3.18, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 421.1, "trend": 3.721333, "fair_value": 3.694438, "relative_strength": -32.854696, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.281199, "energy": 28.084262, "activity_lines": [ 3.6, 3.863636, 3.851333, 3.794194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.26, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 421.1, "trend": 3.709333, "fair_value": 3.682044, "relative_strength": -30.036513, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.443034, "energy": 37.105897, "activity_lines": [ 3.421333, 3.741818, 3.798286, 3.76443 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.86, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 421.1, "trend": 3.686667, "fair_value": 3.669799, "relative_strength": -37.12464, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.813042, "energy": 64.505777, "activity_lines": [ 3.178667, 3.553091, 3.710762, 3.709634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.86, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 282.65, "trend": 3.665333, "fair_value": 3.658416, "relative_strength": -37.557801, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.839994, "energy": 85.7428, "activity_lines": [ 3.016, 3.379636, 3.63, 3.656301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.58, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 282.65, "trend": 3.631333, "fair_value": 3.644869, "relative_strength": -43.149695, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.269888, "energy": 88.964895, "activity_lines": [ 2.841333, 3.177818, 3.524952, 3.58628 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.84, "volume": 2907, "typical_volume": 428.0, "trend": 3.606667, "fair_value": 3.633482, "relative_strength": -38.732898, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.855316, "energy": 82.179742, "activity_lines": [ 2.805333, 3.056, 3.448571, 3.535226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }