{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "26a2ac8e-df5d-4299-8574-998f2f23f807",
    "symbol": "UDVD",
    "name": "State Street SPDR S&P US Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF Dis",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 89.515,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.718,
    "architecture_energy": 55.603,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.078,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.973,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.66,
        "rotation_up": 69.95,
        "upward_expansion": 83.06,
        "deceleration": 56.15,
        "rotation_down": 15.11,
        "downward_expansion": 7.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        84.282834,
        83.651337
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 86.849998,
    "trend_reference": 83.025108,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.046069,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 72.977187,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.190098,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.117096,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.032112,
    "excess_performance": -0.019124,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046069,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034725,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.190098,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04585,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001171,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0103,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032112,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.582486,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 60127,
      "relative_activity": 0.401264,
      "balance": 2.582486,
      "dry_up": 0.686,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021252,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.099815,
      "from_high_reference": -0.019198,
      "from_low_reference": 0.175399
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 72.977187,
      "structural_low": 78.519997,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.002919,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009485,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 1.562486,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 153068.5,
        "trend": 82.161455,
        "fair_value": 72.575197,
        "relative_strength": 1.718213,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 81.103279,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 86.099998,
        "volume": 76454,
        "typical_volume": 149718.85,
        "trend": 82.467564,
        "fair_value": 72.70408,
        "relative_strength": 0.393875,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 69.462772,
        "energy": 76.823355,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 85.519997,
        "volume": 101534,
        "typical_volume": 150365.15,
        "trend": 82.758319,
        "fair_value": 72.833653,
        "relative_strength": -1.426525,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.546385,
        "energy": 52.723795,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.792666,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 86.849998,
        "volume": 60127,
        "typical_volume": 149843.95,
        "trend": 83.025108,
        "fair_value": 72.977187,
        "relative_strength": -0.117096,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.717654,
        "energy": 55.603487,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}