{ "ticker": { "uuid": "26b0d608-b549-4226-9a02-8400be98b9d2", "symbol": "RRGB", "name": "Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.604, "architecture_energy": 65.61, "architecture_maturity": 40.786, "architecture_confidence": 86.655, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.1, "rotation_up": 69.88, "upward_expansion": 86.67, "deceleration": 58.3, "rotation_down": 18.17, "downward_expansion": 11.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.668667, 7.279818, 6.197905, 5.514129 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 8.2, "trend_reference": 4.797333, "distance_from_trend": 0.709283, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.130897, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.337488, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 42.166681, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.204301, "excess_performance": 1.016847, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.709283, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.217134, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.337488, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.784028, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.421667, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.78778, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.204301, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.154642, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1714888, "relative_activity": 0.999669, "balance": 5.154642, "dry_up": 0.537351, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.130298, "annualized_volatility": 0.962913, "from_high_reference": -0.034158, "from_low_reference": 2.340122 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.797333, "fair_value_reference": 6.130897, "structural_low": 2.455, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.00924, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.029775, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.639954, "worst_return": -0.378527, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.262846, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.252668, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.581882, "worst_return": -0.515807, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.078203, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.141414, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.228804, "worst_return": -0.326715, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"trend": 4.439333, "fair_value": 6.239423, "relative_strength": 26.772374, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.304025, "energy": 84.308694, "activity_lines": [ 7.046667, 6.386364, 5.360905, 4.893183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.22, "volume": 656485, "typical_volume": 1747710.0, "trend": 4.536333, "fair_value": 6.195192, "relative_strength": 33.16516, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.552539, "energy": 67.816041, "activity_lines": [ 7.126667, 6.648909, 5.605952, 5.072581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.84, "volume": 750716, "typical_volume": 1703895.8, "trend": 4.659667, "fair_value": 6.160128, "relative_strength": 43.338249, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.990022, "energy": 65.008186, "activity_lines": [ 7.349333, 6.961455, 5.895429, 5.28572 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.2, "volume": 1714888, "typical_volume": 1715456.65, "trend": 4.797333, "fair_value": 6.130897, "relative_strength": 42.166681, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.604426, "energy": 65.610447, "activity_lines": [ 7.668667, 7.279818, 6.197905, 5.514129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }