{ "ticker": { "uuid": "26cc63ac-a432-44ed-8b08-b9c6beb5df16", "symbol": "2731", "name": "Lion Travel Service Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.693, "architecture_energy": 40.4, "architecture_maturity": 18.399, "architecture_confidence": 84.961, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.84, "rotation_up": 16.63, "upward_expansion": 4.39, "deceleration": 52.69, "rotation_down": 60.66, "downward_expansion": 80.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 144.766667, 145.754545, 147.79444, 149.30219 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 143.5, "trend_reference": 152.065968, "distance_from_trend": -0.056331, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 129.98455, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.103977, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.013673, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.157404, "excess_performance": -0.598776, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.056331, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020904, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.103977, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030654, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.330137, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011089, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.157404, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.258005, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1846428, "relative_activity": 0.439166, "balance": 1.258005, "dry_up": 0.519495, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039254, "annualized_volatility": 0.177539, "from_high_reference": -0.161958, "from_low_reference": 0.087984 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 152.065968, "fair_value_reference": 129.98455, 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148.5, 150.442283, 150.343521, 152.021485 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 143.0, "volume": 2245731, "typical_volume": 4618154.05, "trend": 153.402713, "fair_value": 129.754998, "relative_strength": -31.323069, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.822053, "energy": 68.146897, "activity_lines": [ 146.333333, 149.060212, 149.529667, 151.330432 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 145.0, "volume": 1844870, "typical_volume": 4391864.75, "trend": 153.099069, "fair_value": 129.837792, "relative_strength": -31.151919, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.386877, "energy": 65.23341, "activity_lines": [ 145.433333, 148.125962, 148.998859, 150.788321 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 147.0, "volume": 2428291, "typical_volume": 4232209.25, "trend": 152.877519, "fair_value": 129.917279, "relative_strength": -28.649483, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.357621, "energy": 60.053242, "activity_lines": [ 145.666667, 147.594757, 148.710719, 150.394833 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 145.0, "volume": 2617077, "typical_volume": 4245188.35, "trend": 152.558449, "fair_value": 129.954378, "relative_strength": -30.669778, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.254332, "energy": 51.13194, "activity_lines": [ 145.3, 146.719789, 148.29681, 149.886606 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 143.5, "volume": 1846428, "typical_volume": 4204401.25, "trend": 152.065968, "fair_value": 129.98455, "relative_strength": -33.013673, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.693211, "energy": 40.400371, "activity_lines": [ 144.766667, 145.754545, 147.79444, 149.30219 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }