{ "ticker": { "uuid": "26e62e3b-5831-4bfa-aece-594e57e27735", "symbol": "603613", "name": "Beijing United Information Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.013, "architecture_energy": 60.88, "architecture_maturity": 66.89, "architecture_confidence": 94.575, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.21, "rotation_up": 27.63, "upward_expansion": 11.64, "deceleration": 59.61, "rotation_down": 51.03, "downward_expansion": 82.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.67, 18.775454, 20.970524, 22.462279 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 19.629999, "trend_reference": 24.360333, "distance_from_trend": -0.194182, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.659163, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.234971, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.065182, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.275111, "excess_performance": -0.231907, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.194182, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109496, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.234971, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.305314, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.240652, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.233664, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.275111, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.515859, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 59576939, "relative_activity": 1.304408, "balance": 0.515859, "dry_up": 1.25633, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090521, "annualized_volatility": 0.429751, "from_high_reference": -0.413329, "from_low_reference": 0.15132 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.360333, "fair_value_reference": 25.659163, "structural_low": 17.049999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.002678, "positive_rate": 0.535714, "directional_follow_through": 0.464286, "median_excess_return": 0.002893, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.225972, "worst_return": -0.232887, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.025197, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.012203, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.364995, "worst_return": -0.363715, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.070848, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.024337, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.881069, "worst_return": -0.443388, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.073489, "energy": 91.521159, "activity_lines": [ 18.266666, 19.609454, 22.315809, 23.651376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.49, "volume": 57734162, "typical_volume": 45679827.15, "trend": 24.924333, "fair_value": 25.852597, "relative_strength": -30.808702, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.190518, "energy": 80.586753, "activity_lines": [ 17.882666, 18.942545, 21.701523, 23.149613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.280001, "volume": 59770058, "typical_volume": 45544030.5, "trend": 24.639333, "fair_value": 25.753842, "relative_strength": -23.691287, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.91075, "energy": 65.426037, "activity_lines": [ 18.238, 18.773636, 21.299095, 22.785462 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.629999, "volume": 59576939, "typical_volume": 45673559.95, "trend": 24.360333, "fair_value": 25.659163, "relative_strength": -24.065182, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.013372, "energy": 60.879765, "activity_lines": [ 18.67, 18.775454, 20.970524, 22.462279 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }