{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "26f24f5a-cd79-473c-a4bf-3d24d456042d",
    "symbol": "SFY",
    "name": "SOFI SELECT 500 ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.727,
    "architecture_energy": 46.565,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.547,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.202,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.51,
        "rotation_up": 46.91,
        "upward_expansion": 77.18,
        "deceleration": 69.15,
        "rotation_down": 27.07,
        "downward_expansion": 6.18
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        148.465907,
        147.74108,
        146.322663,
        142.932287
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 153.4317,
    "trend_reference": 139.032781,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.103565,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 109.388969,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.402625,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 1.603069,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.158412,
    "excess_performance": 0.032787,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103565,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03904,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.402625,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00237,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016031,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002929,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.158412,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.972392,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 77846,
      "relative_activity": 0.844333,
      "balance": 1.972392,
      "dry_up": 0.803196,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031828,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.176228,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.276152
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 139.032781,
      "fair_value_reference": 109.388969,
      "structural_low": 120.23,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.021234,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002903,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.109664,
        "worst_return": -0.087874,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.041514,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004118,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.18039,
        "worst_return": -0.135159,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.118211,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017294,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.161833,
        "worst_return": -0.00024,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.232386,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.016972,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.283861,
        "worst_return": -0.193334,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.023978,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.011807,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.007038,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.034107,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.158671,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.020011,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.055268,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.107083,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.011143,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009838,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011024,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.000912,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.052632,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 1.553555,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "energy": 48.202582,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 107.134957,
        "relative_strength": 1.113754,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 82719,
        "typical_volume": 102419.7,
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        "fair_value": 107.597271,
        "relative_strength": 1.616823,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 52.259926,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 145.885,
        "volume": 65029,
        "typical_volume": 101510.05,
        "trend": 137.590238,
        "fair_value": 108.032891,
        "relative_strength": 0.579695,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.994007,
        "energy": 39.14511,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 145.12,
        "volume": 101291,
        "typical_volume": 100017.05,
        "trend": 137.960725,
        "fair_value": 108.458929,
        "relative_strength": 0.616131,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.28123,
        "energy": 36.067273,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 145.76,
        "volume": 52047,
        "typical_volume": 94783.45,
        "trend": 138.395391,
        "fair_value": 108.898425,
        "relative_strength": -0.045388,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.330708,
        "energy": 30.835023,
        "activity_lines": [
          146.20568,
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          141.962203
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 153.4317,
        "volume": 77846,
        "typical_volume": 92198.2,
        "trend": 139.032781,
        "fair_value": 109.388969,
        "relative_strength": 1.603069,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.72694,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}