{ "ticker": { "uuid": "270c1a3d-1031-4ec7-9081-b3b5363e4039", "symbol": "STERTOOLS", "name": "Sterling Tools Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 87.047, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 49.157, "architecture_energy": 29.212, "architecture_maturity": 26.675, "architecture_confidence": 60.792, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.47, "rotation_up": 45.22, "upward_expansion": 74.1, "deceleration": 59.09, "rotation_down": 19.98, "downward_expansion": 3.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 245.457997, 243.730362, 240.481095, 234.603226 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 244.149994, "trend_reference": 230.671334, "distance_from_trend": 0.058432, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 352.754682, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.307876, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.899633, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.041818, "excess_performance": 0.085527, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.058432, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051308, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.307876, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031036, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.048996, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00152, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.041818, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.257715, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 205713, "relative_activity": 0.56787, "balance": 0.257715, "dry_up": 0.332271, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085408, "annualized_volatility": 0.551801, "from_high_reference": -0.320485, "from_low_reference": 0.575161 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 230.671334, "fair_value_reference": 352.754682, "structural_low": 155.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.009379, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.021776, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.180515, "worst_return": -0.127965, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.033909, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.059553, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.400506, "worst_return": -0.139785, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.002799, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.103368, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.453716, "worst_return": -0.215604, "sufficient": false }, 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"trend": 232.069667, "fair_value": 353.977489, "relative_strength": -3.373159, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.862708, "energy": 42.619216, "activity_lines": [ 244.111997, 240.239817, 237.229905, 232.599097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 250.050003, "volume": 74623, "typical_volume": 378357.55, "trend": 231.066334, "fair_value": 353.348753, "relative_strength": -2.276988, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.32196, "energy": 40.645562, "activity_lines": [ 245.738665, 242.691636, 239.295667, 233.759119 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 244.149994, "volume": 205713, "typical_volume": 362253.6, "trend": 230.671334, "fair_value": 352.754682, "relative_strength": -4.899633, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.156987, "energy": 29.212045, "activity_lines": [ 245.457997, 243.730362, 240.481095, 234.603226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }