{ "ticker": { "uuid": "270c265d-d6dc-4f1b-9975-1e859935e4d1", "symbol": "3191", "name": "Yjn Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 89.468, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.295, "architecture_energy": 15.675, "architecture_maturity": 50.666, "architecture_confidence": 70.162, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.57, "rotation_up": 28.68, "upward_expansion": 55.6, "deceleration": 87.06, "rotation_down": 25.28, "downward_expansion": 16.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.28, 18.457273, 18.295476, 17.433011 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 18.549999, "trend_reference": 16.595, "distance_from_trend": 0.117807, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.447115, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.005577, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -19.369415, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.185303, "excess_performance": -0.256069, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.117807, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01292, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.005577, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.243172, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.193694, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.181517, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.185303, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.473753, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 163681, "relative_activity": 0.302665, "balance": 0.473753, "dry_up": 0.399495, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.155505, "annualized_volatility": 0.824803, "from_high_reference": -0.3375, "from_low_reference": 0.44358 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.595, "fair_value_reference": 18.447115, "structural_low": 13.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.075031, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.03415, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": -0.00266, "worst_return": -0.138462, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.134914, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.066168, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.001088, "worst_return": -0.209169, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.145283, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.338894, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.037249, "worst_return": -0.148148, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.288155, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.383975, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.255556, "worst_return": -0.320755, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-01-12", "end": "2024-02-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.15534, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-03-01", "end": "2024-07-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.154185, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-26", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.05641, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.1123, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.139394, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.080139, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.060606, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.069697, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.105769, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.126075, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.09396, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.213235, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.277883, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-08-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.013298, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-11", "close": 28.299999, "volume": 981000, "typical_volume": 525350.0, "trend": 18.692667, "fair_value": 22.851795, "relative_strength": 46.843895, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": 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18.713077, "relative_strength": -18.581056, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.892033, "energy": 48.595144, "activity_lines": [ 19.89, 18.959091, 17.020714, 16.610538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 19.1, "volume": 364503, "typical_volume": 502636.9, "trend": 16.628333, "fair_value": 18.72141, "relative_strength": -22.25621, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.987371, "energy": 38.279632, "activity_lines": [ 19.29, 19.220909, 17.318095, 16.772043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 18.799999, "volume": 348501, "typical_volume": 517655.3, "trend": 16.625, "fair_value": 18.734615, "relative_strength": -20.509282, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.980085, "energy": 29.210061, "activity_lines": [ 19.08, 19.331818, 17.570476, 16.912151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 18.200001, "volume": 255501, "typical_volume": 524026.0, "trend": 16.598333, "fair_value": 18.745513, "relative_strength": -17.687178, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.636485, "energy": 23.296409, "activity_lines": [ 18.75, 19.246364, 17.74881, 17.013764 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.1, "volume": 274504, "typical_volume": 529049.85, "trend": 16.575, "fair_value": 18.708333, "relative_strength": -19.330191, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.853202, "energy": 18.975009, "activity_lines": [ 18.473333, 19.059091, 17.901905, 17.110645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.35, "volume": 148001, "typical_volume": 529993.4, "trend": 16.526667, "fair_value": 18.636859, "relative_strength": -20.979452, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.020066, "energy": 18.042442, "activity_lines": [ 18.03, 18.664546, 17.968095, 17.160645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.75, "volume": 278000, "typical_volume": 536417.95, "trend": 16.551667, "fair_value": 18.536538, "relative_strength": -16.19004, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.41829, "energy": 17.651029, "activity_lines": [ 18.176667, 18.509091, 18.153333, 17.304086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 18.549999, "volume": 163681, "typical_volume": 540799.05, "trend": 16.595, "fair_value": 18.447115, "relative_strength": -19.369415, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.2952, "energy": 15.675052, "activity_lines": [ 18.28, 18.457273, 18.295476, 17.433011 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }