{ "ticker": { "uuid": "271df843-58b8-4623-a2ca-f1221bfd32e5", "symbol": "3492", "name": "Advanced Connection Technology Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.15, "architecture_energy": 51.116, "architecture_maturity": 41.143, "architecture_confidence": 87.091, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.98, "rotation_up": 14.95, "upward_expansion": 8.48, "deceleration": 42.43, "rotation_down": 61.46, "downward_expansion": 81.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.84, 22.160909, 22.463809, 22.796667 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 21.25, "trend_reference": 23.333333, "distance_from_trend": -0.089286, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.60921, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.060118, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -37.580199, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.146586, "excess_performance": -0.587958, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.089286, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046711, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.060118, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.062829, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.375802, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006979, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.146586, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.102028, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 662000, "relative_activity": 1.642304, "balance": 1.102028, "dry_up": 0.667425, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060814, "annualized_volatility": 0.22434, "from_high_reference": -0.277211, "from_low_reference": 0.01432 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.333333, "fair_value_reference": 22.60921, "structural_low": 20.950001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.013699, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.006839, "regime_survival": 0.761905, "best_return": 0.161731, "worst_return": -0.090435, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.009693, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.001529, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.195929, "worst_return": -0.206061, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.041518, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.034224, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.152174, "worst_return": -0.139108, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.641765, "energy": 30.387943, "activity_lines": [ 22.463334, 22.606364, 22.798333, 23.144731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.9, "volume": 190135, "typical_volume": 416494.1, "trend": 23.613333, "fair_value": 22.552927, "relative_strength": -33.188145, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.305569, "energy": 34.858776, "activity_lines": [ 22.263333, 22.455455, 22.681905, 23.025699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.299999, "volume": 81000, "typical_volume": 392821.6, "trend": 23.486667, "fair_value": 22.58429, "relative_strength": -32.954079, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.350018, "energy": 41.431184, "activity_lines": [ 22.203333, 22.39, 22.618333, 22.940968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 21.25, "volume": 662000, "typical_volume": 403092.25, "trend": 23.333333, "fair_value": 22.60921, "relative_strength": -37.580199, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.150447, "energy": 51.115627, "activity_lines": [ 21.84, 22.160909, 22.463809, 22.796667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }