{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2725e5ed-70ed-4fc7-9701-2e327da5cc7d", "symbol": "EZU", "name": "iShares MSCI Eurozone ETF", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 88.047, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.768, "architecture_energy": 67.32, "architecture_maturity": 23.269, "architecture_confidence": 92.081, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.17, "rotation_up": 61.93, "upward_expansion": 86.05, "deceleration": 50.46, "rotation_down": 21.26, "downward_expansion": 12.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 1206.213346, 1200.444418, 1184.171874, 1172.314578 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1227.0, "trend_reference": 1162.282182, "distance_from_trend": 0.055682, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 997.913017, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.229566, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.335482, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.056283, "excess_performance": 0.11095, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.055682, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015376, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.229566, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044754, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.043355, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.134925, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.056283, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.982109, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1038, "relative_activity": 0.030648, "balance": 4.982109, "dry_up": 1.188427, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017651, "annualized_volatility": 0.129922, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.124656 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1162.282182, "fair_value_reference": 997.913017, "structural_low": 1091.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.005351, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.01034, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.110344, "worst_return": -0.061318, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.038553, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": 0.006275, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.150351, "worst_return": -0.105385, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.039022, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.072329, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.121863, "worst_return": -0.070895, "sufficient": true }, { 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61.114305, "energy": 56.611768, "activity_lines": [ 1195.635994, 1189.202186, 1170.612282, 1163.355341 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1186.0, "volume": 1252, "typical_volume": 26280.55, "trend": 1159.099845, "fair_value": 992.117608, "relative_strength": 1.502278, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.117009, "energy": 43.816188, "activity_lines": [ 1191.931999, 1190.387413, 1173.59016, 1165.163953 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1203.550049, "volume": 158704, "typical_volume": 33856.85, "trend": 1160.615515, "fair_value": 994.91676, "relative_strength": 2.251617, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.341794, "energy": 48.633192, "activity_lines": [ 1195.716016, 1193.687731, 1177.977567, 1168.031708 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1227.0, "volume": 1038, "typical_volume": 33868.5, "trend": 1162.282182, "fair_value": 997.913017, "relative_strength": 4.335482, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.768094, "energy": 67.319921, "activity_lines": [ 1206.213346, 1200.444418, 1184.171874, 1172.314578 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }