{ "ticker": { "uuid": "27291b09-e091-4b2c-8b82-5a020fdd9996", "symbol": "002299", "name": "Fujian Sunner Development Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 65.514, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -39.196, "architecture_energy": 23.325, "architecture_maturity": 42.081, "architecture_confidence": 82.206, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.74, "rotation_up": 25.5, "upward_expansion": 14.68, "deceleration": 45.61, "rotation_down": 31.36, "downward_expansion": 62.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.272666, 16.114182, 16.528734, 16.896123 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 16.51, "trend_reference": 17.181883, "distance_from_trend": -0.039104, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.414718, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.071054, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.460199, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.030185, "excess_performance": -0.037585, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.039104, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00049, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.071054, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09085, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.054602, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05194, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.030185, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.368891, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 43259300, "relative_activity": 1.000127, "balance": 0.368891, "dry_up": 1.23452, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061863, "annualized_volatility": 0.265071, "from_high_reference": -0.164572, "from_low_reference": 0.104348 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.181883, "fair_value_reference": 15.414718, "structural_low": 14.95, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.015744, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.458333, "median_excess_return": -0.008492, "regime_survival": 0.791667, "best_return": 0.141757, "worst_return": -0.130685, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.01112, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.018412, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.113162, "worst_return": -0.119978, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.072669, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.006784, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.18558, "worst_return": -0.09871, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.313149, "energy": 54.621342, "activity_lines": [ 15.785333, 16.03806, 16.749277, 17.053521 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.85, "volume": 66353048, "typical_volume": 45497657.75, "trend": 17.164983, "fair_value": 15.443084, "relative_strength": -6.326538, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.61928, "energy": 42.61144, "activity_lines": [ 15.800667, 15.943091, 16.612861, 16.967839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.719999, "volume": 46512177, "typical_volume": 43765266.15, "trend": 17.176604, "fair_value": 15.431117, "relative_strength": 0.518737, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.455169, "energy": 31.011594, "activity_lines": [ 16.125333, 16.044363, 16.577037, 16.93913 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.51, "volume": 43259300, "typical_volume": 43253806.6, "trend": 17.181883, "fair_value": 15.414718, "relative_strength": -5.460199, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.195996, "energy": 23.32544, "activity_lines": [ 16.272666, 16.114182, 16.528734, 16.896123 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }