{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "272c89a2-d112-469b-86ef-370bfcce3b83",
    "symbol": "SMFG",
    "name": "Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 64.473,
    "architecture_energy": 56.126,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.576,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.73,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.79,
        "rotation_up": 63.05,
        "upward_expansion": 84.83,
        "deceleration": 59.58,
        "rotation_down": 20.39,
        "downward_expansion": 9.16
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        25.76,
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        24.178714,
        23.328731
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 25.74,
    "trend_reference": 22.512667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.143356,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 14.85204,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.733095,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 13.599648,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.117188,
    "excess_performance": -0.008437,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143356,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105007,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.733095,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143865,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135996,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069791,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.117188,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.680675,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9023016,
      "relative_activity": 0.920243,
      "balance": 1.680675,
      "dry_up": 0.928963,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.056251,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.318465,
      "from_high_reference": -0.03469,
      "from_low_reference": 0.695652
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 22.512667,
      "fair_value_reference": 14.85204,
      "structural_low": 18.94,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.03394,
        "positive_rate": 0.605263,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.605263,
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        "regime_survival": 0.736842,
        "best_return": 0.331858,
        "worst_return": -0.197816,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
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        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.163866,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.192008,
        "sufficient": false
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 10049533.35,
        "trend": 22.113667,
        "fair_value": 14.627513,
        "relative_strength": 22.4457,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 78.851654,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 25.88,
        "volume": 9437236,
        "typical_volume": 9861573.25,
        "trend": 22.328,
        "fair_value": 14.739459,
        "relative_strength": 18.89503,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 69.280989,
        "energy": 65.723834,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 25.74,
        "volume": 9023016,
        "typical_volume": 9805041.55,
        "trend": 22.512667,
        "fair_value": 14.85204,
        "relative_strength": 13.599648,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.472683,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}