{ "ticker": { "uuid": "272cf861-ad8e-4d6f-b943-ef19a9191ff8", "symbol": "SEYE", "name": "Smart Eye AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.727, "architecture_energy": 33.016, "architecture_maturity": 51.988, "architecture_confidence": 90.428, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.97, "rotation_up": 35.86, "upward_expansion": 64.19, "deceleration": 90.8, "rotation_down": 27.55, "downward_expansion": 13.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 84.576665, 84.515453, 81.884047, 77.00172 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 87.449997, "trend_reference": 73.473333, "distance_from_trend": 0.190228, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 71.497756, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.223115, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.77619, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.134977, "excess_performance": 0.073483, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.190228, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038394, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.223115, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.23709, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.027762, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.175071, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.134977, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.953819, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 626785, "relative_activity": 0.735644, "balance": 3.953819, "dry_up": 0.594273, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104543, "annualized_volatility": 0.570583, "from_high_reference": -0.132441, "from_low_reference": 0.789075 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 73.473333, "fair_value_reference": 71.497756, "structural_low": 48.880001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.1578, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.125471, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.315965, "worst_return": -0.275093, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.109489, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.097446, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.211757, "worst_return": -0.412639, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.313292, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.18812, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.823282, "worst_return": -0.584572, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"fair_value": 70.797115, "relative_strength": 4.464051, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.587097, "energy": 35.322337, "activity_lines": [ 85.01, 85.335454, 78.663094, 74.906128 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 81.849998, "volume": 506950, "typical_volume": 884540.0, "trend": 73.295, "fair_value": 71.01859, "relative_strength": -0.343274, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.060213, "energy": 32.883236, "activity_lines": [ 84.063332, 84.680908, 79.649047, 75.470322 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 83.0, "volume": 429374, "typical_volume": 863551.5, "trend": 73.418333, "fair_value": 71.255513, "relative_strength": -0.375926, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.951862, "energy": 26.819632, "activity_lines": [ 83.639999, 84.132727, 80.619999, 76.096451 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 87.449997, "volume": 626785, "typical_volume": 852022.1, "trend": 73.473333, "fair_value": 71.497756, "relative_strength": 2.77619, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.727142, "energy": 33.016329, "activity_lines": [ 84.576665, 84.515453, 81.884047, 77.00172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }