{ "ticker": { "uuid": "274aa9cc-b06b-4575-a1de-c8841d0dd59e", "symbol": "ENGN", "name": "enGene Holdings Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 94.802, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.949, "architecture_energy": 83.425, "architecture_maturity": 75.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.488, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.47, "rotation_up": 28.0, "upward_expansion": 37.0, "deceleration": 23.0, "rotation_down": 44.62, "downward_expansion": 71.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.810667, 1.795455, 2.332143, 3.563871 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 1.8, "trend_reference": 5.392667, "distance_from_trend": -0.666213, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.371414, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.755813, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -75.243545, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.811518, "excess_performance": -0.998972, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.666213, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.284602, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.755813, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054895, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.752435, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057962, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.811518, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.234271, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1977930, "relative_activity": 0.303241, "balance": 2.234271, "dry_up": 0.516616, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.107833, "annualized_volatility": 2.256783, "from_high_reference": -0.853061, "from_low_reference": 0.285714 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.392667, "fair_value_reference": 7.371414, "structural_low": 1.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.007895, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.012102, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.277027, "worst_return": -0.744828, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.243243, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.064505, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.646739, "worst_return": -0.753103, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 1.047297, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.794922, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.047297, "worst_return": 1.047297, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-17", "close": 1.82, "volume": 4769360, "typical_volume": 6659500.85, "trend": 6.117667, "fair_value": 7.489049, "relative_strength": -74.563506, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.412238, "energy": 57.189734, "activity_lines": [ 1.817333, 1.769455, 2.948286, 4.350688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.82, "volume": 3899839, "typical_volume": 6784329.3, "trend": 5.861667, "fair_value": 7.449406, "relative_strength": -73.961223, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.470028, "energy": 55.352009, "activity_lines": [ 1.826, 1.783273, 2.71419, 4.073419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.79, "volume": 2831653, "typical_volume": 6539530.45, "trend": 5.626333, "fair_value": 7.410104, "relative_strength": -74.320656, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.046686, "energy": 54.446374, "activity_lines": [ 1.818, 1.789818, 2.509905, 3.810731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.8, "volume": 1977930, "typical_volume": 6522626.2, "trend": 5.392667, "fair_value": 7.371414, "relative_strength": -75.243545, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.948516, "energy": 83.42473, "activity_lines": [ 1.810667, 1.795455, 2.332143, 3.563871 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }