{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "274c2db1-3d19-4b5b-8871-16a006398fe4",
    "symbol": "CGLO",
    "name": "CIBC Global Growth ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 78.377,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.189,
    "architecture_energy": 65.388,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.176,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.706,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.57,
        "rotation_up": 64.57,
        "upward_expansion": 83.53,
        "deceleration": 65.32,
        "rotation_down": 21.32,
        "downward_expansion": 10.2
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        33.471333,
        33.199637,
        32.59,
        32.073226
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 34.459999,
    "trend_reference": 31.638334,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.089185,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 29.183402,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.180808,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.827779,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.097103,
    "excess_performance": -0.023318,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089185,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016189,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.180808,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06433,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028278,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058992,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097103,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.051188,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7800,
      "relative_activity": 0.484773,
      "balance": 2.051188,
      "dry_up": 1.235239,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021697,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.140524,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.19404
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.638334,
      "fair_value_reference": 29.183402,
      "structural_low": 28.860001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": 0.005084,
        "positive_rate": 0.612903,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.612903,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005163,
        "regime_survival": 0.806452,
        "best_return": 0.068227,
        "worst_return": -0.116486,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.017502,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005952,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.119269,
        "worst_return": -0.024816,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.094833,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023318,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.129975,
        "worst_return": -0.032838,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.128555,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020275,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.24337,
        "worst_return": 0.00984,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
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        "return": -0.056274,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "trend": 31.135954,
        "fair_value": 28.385596,
        "relative_strength": -10.83366,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -20.03636,
        "energy": 22.073994,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.742001,
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          30.707274,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 30.860001,
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        "typical_volume": 22330.0,
        "trend": 31.104772,
        "fair_value": 28.430926,
        "relative_strength": -11.289128,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -21.761608,
        "energy": 26.147815,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.888001,
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          30.695041,
          30.892255
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 31.799999,
        "volume": 36400,
        "typical_volume": 23625.0,
        "trend": 31.131552,
        "fair_value": 28.482409,
        "relative_strength": -8.726985,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.275012,
        "energy": 29.469275,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 31.09,
        "volume": 8900,
        "typical_volume": 23030.0,
        "trend": 31.120353,
        "fair_value": 28.52756,
        "relative_strength": -9.703548,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 14.614796,
        "energy": 23.665339,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.24,
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          30.934428
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 31.690001,
        "volume": 9600,
        "typical_volume": 23340.0,
        "trend": 31.108848,
        "fair_value": 28.57802,
        "relative_strength": -9.266463,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.459501,
        "energy": 29.898717,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.406667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 32.189999,
        "volume": 23100,
        "typical_volume": 22320.0,
        "trend": 31.134316,
        "fair_value": 28.629522,
        "relative_strength": -8.270495,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.502011,
        "energy": 47.957292,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 31.84,
        "volume": 1200,
        "typical_volume": 21735.0,
        "trend": 31.157769,
        "fair_value": 28.681134,
        "relative_strength": -7.955708,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.066814,
        "energy": 43.322625,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 32.240002,
        "volume": 7500,
        "typical_volume": 20850.0,
        "trend": 31.179577,
        "fair_value": 28.731749,
        "relative_strength": -7.857667,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.111844,
        "energy": 59.013229,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 19500.0,
        "trend": 31.24902,
        "fair_value": 28.791559,
        "relative_strength": -5.527916,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.313441,
        "energy": 81.936848,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 32.650002,
        "volume": 4100,
        "typical_volume": 18850.0,
        "trend": 31.284494,
        "fair_value": 28.843912,
        "relative_strength": -6.164712,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.462301,
        "energy": 79.024607,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.517334,
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          31.509239,
          31.362822
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 32.950001,
        "volume": 1300,
        "typical_volume": 17435.0,
        "trend": 31.335295,
        "fair_value": 28.901177,
        "relative_strength": -5.671488,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.978472,
        "energy": 85.568615,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.707334,
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          31.684429,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 33.540001,
        "volume": 31100,
        "typical_volume": 17970.0,
        "trend": 31.418411,
        "fair_value": 28.958409,
        "relative_strength": -3.823503,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.378226,
        "energy": 92.259491,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.043334,
          32.626546,
          31.905239,
          31.612514
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.0,
        "volume": 27800,
        "typical_volume": 18225.0,
        "trend": 31.472875,
        "fair_value": 29.012369,
        "relative_strength": -4.946002,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.369923,
        "energy": 80.16279,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.086001,
          32.754364,
          32.063953,
          31.714552
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 32.41,
        "volume": 12700,
        "typical_volume": 17660.0,
        "trend": 31.512,
        "fair_value": 29.061403,
        "relative_strength": -6.569789,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.985459,
        "energy": 54.630006,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.881334,
          32.753092,
          32.15862,
          31.775011
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 33.25,
        "volume": 31200,
        "typical_volume": 17105.0,
        "trend": 31.575667,
        "fair_value": 29.119192,
        "relative_strength": -3.441517,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.30597,
        "energy": 54.690753,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.994667,
          32.880546,
          32.325143,
          31.88714
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 34.459999,
        "volume": 7800,
        "typical_volume": 16090.0,
        "trend": 31.638334,
        "fair_value": 29.183402,
        "relative_strength": -2.827779,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.188702,
        "energy": 65.387945,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.471333,
          33.199637,
          32.59,
          32.073226
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}