{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2755a20d-5164-4278-9859-04a0f88ea394", "symbol": "300612", "name": "Shunya International Martech (Beijing) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.245, "architecture_energy": 42.294, "architecture_maturity": 87.716, "architecture_confidence": 65.95, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.64, "rotation_up": 26.56, "upward_expansion": 18.1, "deceleration": 66.98, "rotation_down": 45.8, "downward_expansion": 70.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.542, 11.433818, 12.296381, 13.230086 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 12.24, "trend_reference": 14.786333, "distance_from_trend": -0.172209, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.757885, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.223246, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.194847, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.364156, "excess_performance": -0.371556, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.172209, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105665, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.223246, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.162586, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.221948, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026787, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.364156, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.587698, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 48522456, "relative_activity": 1.727678, "balance": 0.587698, "dry_up": 1.484832, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105329, "annualized_volatility": 0.407764, "from_high_reference": -0.51735, "from_low_reference": 0.235116 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.786333, "fair_value_reference": 15.757885, "structural_low": 9.91, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.02323, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": 0.023453, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.94626, "worst_return": -0.290552, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.087167, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.093051, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.435424, "worst_return": -0.255409, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.022171, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.036424, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.326739, "worst_return": -0.190505, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.06467, "energy": 68.719851, "activity_lines": [ 10.806, 11.296727, 12.527333, 13.607957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.99, "volume": 47519677, "typical_volume": 27241935.5, "trend": 14.972, "fair_value": 15.811538, "relative_strength": -20.60995, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.079522, "energy": 55.498261, "activity_lines": [ 11.175333, 11.325273, 12.391095, 13.406344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.24, "volume": 48522456, "typical_volume": 28085357.15, "trend": 14.786333, "fair_value": 15.757885, "relative_strength": -22.194847, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.244965, "energy": 42.294293, "activity_lines": [ 11.542, 11.433818, 12.296381, 13.230086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }