{ "ticker": { "uuid": "27594a30-fbc0-46b7-a5f4-ef1dd84947fd", "symbol": "002695", "name": "Jiangxi Huangshanghuang Group Food Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.25, "architecture_energy": 54.868, "architecture_maturity": 12.025, "architecture_confidence": 80.866, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.32, "rotation_up": 11.28, "upward_expansion": 9.36, "deceleration": 42.8, "rotation_down": 67.27, "downward_expansion": 82.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.842, 10.090909, 10.742027, 10.870313 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.79, "trend_reference": 11.07027, "distance_from_trend": -0.025317, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.803166, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.100665, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.114127, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.074037, "excess_performance": -0.081437, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.025317, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046565, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.100665, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.220968, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.111141, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014765, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.074037, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.778313, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 106596098, "relative_activity": 2.840108, "balance": 0.778313, "dry_up": 2.039119, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100313, "annualized_volatility": 0.473607, "from_high_reference": -0.339802, "from_low_reference": 0.417871 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.07027, "fair_value_reference": 9.803166, "structural_low": 7.61, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.003952, "positive_rate": 0.515152, "directional_follow_through": 0.484848, "median_excess_return": -0.009398, "regime_survival": 0.787879, "best_return": 0.303774, "worst_return": -0.134518, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.049657, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.03753, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.287602, "worst_return": -0.254317, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.002735, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.105645, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.243827, "worst_return": -0.367233, "sufficient": true }, { 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"2026-07-10", "close": 10.58, "volume": 31723539, "typical_volume": 26278761.3, "trend": 11.365463, "fair_value": 9.830344, "relative_strength": -20.28463, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.423391, "energy": 51.220599, "activity_lines": [ 10.646667, 11.118596, 11.304389, 11.292742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.38, "volume": 34143600, "typical_volume": 26924644.2, "trend": 11.289044, "fair_value": 9.824724, "relative_strength": -21.793658, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.255488, "energy": 76.776401, "activity_lines": [ 10.152667, 10.72701, 11.132613, 11.164647 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.46, "volume": 99107592, "typical_volume": 30567847.2, "trend": 11.164438, "fair_value": 9.810809, "relative_strength": -29.081867, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.144366, "energy": 83.661966, "activity_lines": [ 9.512667, 10.233094, 10.880876, 10.982128 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.74, "volume": 66284857, "typical_volume": 33173479.65, "trend": 11.098697, "fair_value": 9.80516, "relative_strength": -16.398086, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.514409, "energy": 73.259742, "activity_lines": [ 9.494, 10.046364, 10.760487, 10.890229 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.79, "volume": 106596098, "typical_volume": 37532411.4, "trend": 11.07027, "fair_value": 9.803166, "relative_strength": -11.114127, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.249924, "energy": 54.867852, "activity_lines": [ 9.842, 10.090909, 10.742027, 10.870313 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }