{ "ticker": { "uuid": "275a044b-4267-4bdb-bde7-3e52f40d3d58", "symbol": "FTI", "name": "TechnipFMC plc", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 87.244, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 54.558, "architecture_energy": 50.185, "architecture_maturity": 7.695, "architecture_confidence": 82.129, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.76, "rotation_up": 62.09, "upward_expansion": 79.33, "deceleration": 52.75, "rotation_down": 11.55, "downward_expansion": 8.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 62.581333, 61.443636, 60.921719, 60.05566 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 60.439999, "trend_reference": 57.771679, "distance_from_trend": 0.046187, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.97976, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.889945, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.146138, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.260921, "excess_performance": 0.086674, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.046187, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.145757, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.889945, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.270314, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.041461, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.254742, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.260921, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.444118, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 117, "relative_activity": 0.860927, "balance": 4.444118, "dry_up": 1.447756, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060883, "annualized_volatility": 0.346347, "from_high_reference": -0.105123, "from_low_reference": 1.041527 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 57.771679, "fair_value_reference": 31.97976, "structural_low": 49.68023, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": 0.026404, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": 0.027815, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.241071, "worst_return": -0.2139, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.112862, "positive_rate": 0.733333, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": 0.124301, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.43027, "worst_return": -0.065296, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.253778, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.182178, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.650357, "worst_return": 0.004082, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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30.478915, "relative_strength": 5.381107, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.54133, "energy": 13.952615, "activity_lines": [ 58.132, 58.85422, 59.565508, 57.70841 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 61.5, "volume": 930, "typical_volume": 270.55, "trend": 54.565137, "fair_value": 30.768991, "relative_strength": 11.76342, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.252935, "energy": 16.438457, "activity_lines": [ 59.158666, 59.162029, 59.800423, 58.202891 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 62.32, "volume": 308, "typical_volume": 236.7, "trend": 55.400589, "fair_value": 31.070903, "relative_strength": 14.465124, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.872294, "energy": 30.738148, "activity_lines": [ 60.290667, 59.667454, 60.070199, 58.703205 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 67.540001, "volume": 139, "typical_volume": 159.2, "trend": 56.379427, "fair_value": 31.404209, "relative_strength": 21.351813, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.674399, "energy": 69.345073, "activity_lines": [ 63.062667, 61.093818, 60.808612, 59.486392 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 61.939999, "volume": 223, "typical_volume": 131.8, "trend": 57.176923, "fair_value": 31.696949, "relative_strength": 10.604445, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.795624, "energy": 58.094802, "activity_lines": [ 63.210667, 61.415636, 60.953246, 59.845139 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 60.439999, "volume": 117, "typical_volume": 135.9, "trend": 57.771679, "fair_value": 31.97976, "relative_strength": 4.146138, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.557676, "energy": 50.184835, "activity_lines": [ 62.581333, 61.443636, 60.921719, 60.05566 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }