{ "ticker": { "uuid": "276b386f-3dc6-4bcc-90d7-02e9893eb906", "symbol": "603270", "name": "Shandong Golden Empire Precision Machinery Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 92.828, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -16.891, "architecture_energy": 29.046, "architecture_maturity": 40.963, "architecture_confidence": 51.167, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.4, "rotation_up": 16.95, "upward_expansion": 17.81, "deceleration": 67.55, "rotation_down": 61.63, "downward_expansion": 40.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.728001, 27.742546, 28.330957, 27.891372 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 27.860001, "trend_reference": 27.48469, "distance_from_trend": 0.013655, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.836619, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.121731, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.305226, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.051321, "excess_performance": 0.094525, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.013655, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05112, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.121731, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041279, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.053052, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050661, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.051321, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.038918, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23574211, "relative_activity": 1.150312, "balance": 1.038918, "dry_up": 1.246302, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.146373, "annualized_volatility": 0.573739, "from_high_reference": -0.233563, "from_low_reference": 0.253261 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.48469, "fair_value_reference": 24.836619, "structural_low": 22.23, "invalidation": "A 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"directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.131058, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.121062, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.040644, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.088134, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-14", 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27.543334, 28.994017, 28.714582, 28.118192 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.610001, "volume": 16586007, "typical_volume": 19762599.55, "trend": 27.457023, "fair_value": 24.816463, "relative_strength": -8.334783, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.287478, "energy": 33.601583, "activity_lines": [ 25.661334, 27.909267, 28.31677, 27.865373 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.860001, "volume": 23574211, "typical_volume": 20493758.95, "trend": 27.48469, "fair_value": 24.836619, "relative_strength": 5.305226, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.890826, "energy": 29.046081, "activity_lines": [ 25.728001, 27.742546, 28.330957, 27.891372 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }