{ "ticker": { "uuid": "276d4ecb-1161-4d1c-959b-db4999e338ad", "symbol": "001328", "name": "Dencare (Chongqing) Oral Care Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -22.561, "architecture_energy": 21.35, "architecture_maturity": 99.995, "architecture_confidence": 74.94, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.44, "rotation_up": 39.68, "upward_expansion": 22.76, "deceleration": 41.32, "rotation_down": 23.04, "downward_expansion": 56.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.880667, 28.787636, 29.064847, 30.33788 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 30.66, "trend_reference": 32.702021, "distance_from_trend": -0.062443, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 32.540581, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.057792, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.26879, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.230615, "excess_performance": -0.238015, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.062443, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080828, "read": "Falling" 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"structural_low": 24.66, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.01856, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.010582, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.069188, "worst_return": -0.109797, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.148992, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.20051, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.04666, "worst_return": -0.213341, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.176636, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.234519, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.176636, "worst_return": -0.176636, "sufficient": false }, { 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"energy": 16.246703, "activity_lines": [ 29.119333, 28.374122, 28.986231, 30.488591 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.66, "volume": 12931811, "typical_volume": 6784227.05, "trend": 32.702021, "fair_value": 32.540581, "relative_strength": -17.26879, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.561371, "energy": 21.349694, "activity_lines": [ 29.880667, 28.787636, 29.064847, 30.33788 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }