{ "ticker": { "uuid": "276d7ee3-a27d-48ba-aea5-dc0a4b21437b", "symbol": "QETA", "name": "Quetta Acquisition Corporation Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 49.413, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 26.652, "architecture_energy": 16.753, "architecture_maturity": 17.065, "architecture_confidence": 70.336, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.42, "rotation_up": 23.29, "upward_expansion": 52.62, "deceleration": 89.14, "rotation_down": 30.0, "downward_expansion": 16.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.746667, 11.798909, 11.785738, 11.734892 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 11.74, "trend_reference": 11.673833, "distance_from_trend": 0.005668, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.856455, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.081384, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.875846, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.011197, "excess_performance": -0.176256, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.005668, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013383, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.081384, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012231, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.108758, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04477, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.011197, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.067911, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 82, "relative_activity": 0.011968, "balance": 0.067911, "dry_up": 0.053818, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023162, "annualized_volatility": 0.091654, "from_high_reference": -0.10176, "from_low_reference": 0.080037 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.673833, "fair_value_reference": 10.856455, "structural_low": 11.29, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.004296, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.011279, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.038261, "worst_return": -0.012452, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.027043, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.059684, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.04087, "worst_return": 0.013216, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.054626, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.109075, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.054626, "worst_return": 0.054626, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.193695, "energy": 24.589635, "activity_lines": [ 11.840667, 11.861636, 11.776381, 11.716591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.74, "volume": 94, "typical_volume": 8712.65, "trend": 11.64683, "fair_value": 10.843742, "relative_strength": -6.441631, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.675004, "energy": 16.805724, "activity_lines": [ 11.806, 11.837091, 11.780643, 11.723709 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.74, "volume": 142, "typical_volume": 7013.95, "trend": 11.65983, "fair_value": 10.850144, "relative_strength": -6.650834, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.110101, "energy": 17.55705, "activity_lines": [ 11.768667, 11.816182, 11.783762, 11.72972 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.74, "volume": 82, "typical_volume": 6851.85, "trend": 11.673833, "fair_value": 10.856455, "relative_strength": -10.875846, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.651608, "energy": 16.753394, "activity_lines": [ 11.746667, 11.798909, 11.785738, 11.734892 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }