{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2775fd19-ed9e-4688-a78f-d99fb8e88ad7",
    "symbol": "CRDL",
    "name": "Cardiol Therapeutics Inc Class A",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 62.128,
    "architecture_energy": 44.456,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.159,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.024,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.14,
        "rotation_up": 73.1,
        "upward_expansion": 70.59,
        "deceleration": 59.91,
        "rotation_down": 11.64,
        "downward_expansion": 13.92
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.276667,
        1.188364,
        1.202429,
        1.195328
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 1.42,
    "trend_reference": 1.16341,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.22055,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.341335,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.058647,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.502359,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.427423,
    "excess_performance": 0.239969,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.22055,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035372,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058647,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054641,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105024,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.159301,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.427423,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.567519,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4499530,
      "relative_activity": 1.315444,
      "balance": 1.567519,
      "dry_up": 1.583961,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.104175,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.64589,
      "from_high_reference": -0.169591,
      "from_low_reference": 0.613636
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.16341,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.341335,
      "structural_low": 0.89735,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.005517,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000391,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.141509,
        "worst_return": -0.19697,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.005051,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021982,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.032128,
        "worst_return": -0.070841,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.317757,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.345476,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.272727,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.271218,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019408,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.404372,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.045455,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.177665,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-13",
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        "return": 0.168,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.204919,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
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        "return": 0.009346,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": 0.128,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 8888896,
        "typical_volume": 3109141.35,
        "trend": 1.133897,
        "fair_value": 1.336912,
        "relative_strength": -3.385127,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -12.101603,
        "energy": 16.831043,
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          1.092,
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          1.178851,
          1.166512
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.18,
        "volume": 3777415,
        "typical_volume": 3218736.8,
        "trend": 1.140127,
        "fair_value": 1.337489,
        "relative_strength": -3.398757,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -0.405301,
        "energy": 5.491904,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.127333,
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          1.177295,
          1.169486
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.27,
        "volume": 4506160,
        "typical_volume": 3345307.35,
        "trend": 1.14932,
        "fair_value": 1.33813,
        "relative_strength": 4.13538,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.105529,
        "energy": 19.755668,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.184667,
          1.133455,
          1.183314,
          1.177865
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.42,
        "volume": 4499530,
        "typical_volume": 3420539.95,
        "trend": 1.16341,
        "fair_value": 1.341335,
        "relative_strength": 10.502359,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.127943,
        "energy": 44.456459,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.276667,
          1.188364,
          1.202429,
          1.195328
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}