{ "ticker": { "uuid": "277d100f-12db-4aa6-9c56-941e4022f1ff", "symbol": "YATO", "name": "Atom Hoteles SOCIMI, S.A.", "exchange": "MCE", "country": "ES", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^IBEX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 49.754, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 25.685, "architecture_energy": 21.751, "architecture_maturity": 34.921, "architecture_confidence": 77.244, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.82, "rotation_up": 29.13, "upward_expansion": 47.14, "deceleration": 79.49, "rotation_down": 35.73, "downward_expansion": 29.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.313333, 17.376364, 17.418572, 17.291613 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 17.6, "trend_reference": 16.98, "distance_from_trend": 0.036514, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.628681, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.513499, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.94723, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.113924, "excess_performance": -0.010507, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.036514, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05444, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.513499, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065808, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.059472, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069965, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.113924, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.053033, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1249, "relative_activity": 0.510014, "balance": 1.053033, "dry_up": 1.891627, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024038, "annualized_volatility": 0.214685, "from_high_reference": -0.022222, "from_low_reference": 0.257143 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.98, "fair_value_reference": 11.628681, "structural_low": 15.8, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.020942, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.029711, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.041885, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.123385, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.175669, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.123385, "worst_return": 0.123385, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.112372, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.157575, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.112372, "worst_return": 0.112372, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "up", "direction": -11.388333, "energy": 29.795252, "activity_lines": [ 17.04, 17.369091, 17.366191, 17.165161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.4, "volume": 2513, "typical_volume": 2805.7, "trend": 16.846667, "fair_value": 11.494552, "relative_strength": -4.769505, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.861885, "energy": 28.023005, "activity_lines": [ 17.06, 17.36, 17.378572, 17.204516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.5, "volume": 435, "typical_volume": 2579.45, "trend": 16.903333, "fair_value": 11.561296, "relative_strength": -4.858594, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.358348, "energy": 24.195225, "activity_lines": [ 17.153333, 17.361818, 17.396191, 17.246667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.6, "volume": 1249, "typical_volume": 2448.95, "trend": 16.98, "fair_value": 11.628681, "relative_strength": -5.94723, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.685484, "energy": 21.751173, "activity_lines": [ 17.313333, 17.376364, 17.418572, 17.291613 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }