{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2796148f-5ec1-4b09-9ceb-8f85e562681d", "symbol": "RBA", "name": "Restaurant Brands Asia Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.018, "architecture_energy": 45.877, "architecture_maturity": 57.134, "architecture_confidence": 62.704, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.75, "rotation_up": 49.65, "upward_expansion": 74.46, "deceleration": 74.3, "rotation_down": 29.51, "downward_expansion": 12.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 76.208, 74.550182, 71.790142, 69.51886 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 94.919998, "trend_reference": 67.187666, "distance_from_trend": 0.412759, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 88.405192, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.073693, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 38.675889, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.476665, "excess_performance": 0.520374, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.412759, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046988, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.073693, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.331524, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.386759, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.398937, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.476665, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.096231, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 327351264, "relative_activity": 11.166823, "balance": 5.096231, "dry_up": 3.187493, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066404, "annualized_volatility": 0.553902, "from_high_reference": -0.015863, "from_low_reference": 0.660892 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 67.187666, "fair_value_reference": 88.405192, "structural_low": 57.150002, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.043097, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.043275, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.044313, "worst_return": -0.055706, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.031365, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.051371, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.078082, "worst_return": -0.140812, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.21896, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.244179, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.165579, "worst_return": -0.27234, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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17.510863, "activity_lines": [ 69.540001, 70.896364, 69.19019, 67.636623 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 66.639999, "volume": 17780831, "typical_volume": 13461062.15, "trend": 66.219333, "fair_value": 88.540962, "relative_strength": -1.49428, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.425048, "energy": 24.384065, "activity_lines": [ 67.736001, 70.142727, 69.156762, 67.667204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 94.919998, "volume": 327351264, "typical_volume": 29314627.1, "trend": 67.187666, "fair_value": 88.405192, "relative_strength": 38.675889, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.017809, "energy": 45.877136, "activity_lines": [ 76.208, 74.550182, 71.790142, 69.51886 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }