{ "ticker": { "uuid": "27aa9add-ab22-4bcf-8c46-fbbcea05c3d9", "symbol": "AMZD", "name": "DIREXION DAILY AMZN BEAR 1X SHARES", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.233, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -74.959, "architecture_energy": 65.811, "architecture_maturity": 43.798, "architecture_confidence": 83.733, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.34, "rotation_up": 14.19, "upward_expansion": 15.15, "deceleration": 36.15, "rotation_down": 69.75, "downward_expansion": 86.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.58904, 8.925491, 8.960504, 9.273216 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.985, "trend_reference": 9.649282, "distance_from_trend": -0.172477, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.334586, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.352633, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -29.75746, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.269887, "excess_performance": -0.457341, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.172477, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028116, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.352633, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016221, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.297575, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037617, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.269887, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.731863, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 49489890, "relative_activity": 0.768116, "balance": 0.731863, "dry_up": 1.071892, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085132, "annualized_volatility": 0.416562, "from_high_reference": -0.318272, "from_low_reference": 0.045225 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.649282, "fair_value_reference": 12.334586, "structural_low": 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"relative_strength": -11.387691, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.218585, "energy": 7.307895, "activity_lines": [ 9.398747, 9.338367, 9.218096, 9.491563 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.09, "volume": 76043486, "typical_volume": 64413364.5, "trend": 9.694265, "fair_value": 12.396401, "relative_strength": -25.869249, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.950552, "energy": 37.523983, "activity_lines": [ 8.954727, 9.137609, 9.087226, 9.383491 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.985, "volume": 49489890, "typical_volume": 64430194.05, "trend": 9.649282, "fair_value": 12.334586, "relative_strength": -29.75746, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.958778, "energy": 65.811171, "activity_lines": [ 8.58904, 8.925491, 8.960504, 9.273216 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }