{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "27b6c97a-e5a3-46a0-a6f1-9328bf5940b2",
    "symbol": "CNU",
    "name": "Chorus Limited",
    "exchange": "NZE",
    "country": "NZ",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NZ50",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 92.138,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -14.521,
    "architecture_energy": 20.906,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.458,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.221,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.51,
        "rotation_up": 18.35,
        "upward_expansion": 21.55,
        "deceleration": 56.67,
        "rotation_down": 53.62,
        "downward_expansion": 42.22
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        9.546667,
        9.600727,
        9.694476,
        9.647783
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 9.55,
    "trend_reference": 9.548468,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.00016,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.972623,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.197849,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -1.474842,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.026846,
    "excess_performance": -0.001428,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00016,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019532,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.197849,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.109427,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014748,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.147495,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026846,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.606208,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 815777,
      "relative_activity": 0.853164,
      "balance": 0.606208,
      "dry_up": 1.091314,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.038421,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.20323,
      "from_high_reference": -0.073715,
      "from_low_reference": 0.117188
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.548468,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.972623,
      "structural_low": 8.813398,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.011047,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003732,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 0.091971,
        "worst_return": -0.081728,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.057498,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.034333,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.078188,
        "worst_return": -0.074662,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.095672,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.056458,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.190697,
        "worst_return": -0.068401,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.166372,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.104316,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.297078,
        "worst_return": -0.07767,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.038513,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.015289,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014865,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011704,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.154816,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.068208,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.028025,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.053988,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": 0.029412,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": -0.033401,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1055377.55,
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        "fair_value": 7.926013,
        "relative_strength": 0.573197,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 12.920385,
        "energy": 8.986459,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 830773,
        "typical_volume": 1063381.35,
        "trend": 9.528033,
        "fair_value": 7.941846,
        "relative_strength": -0.213032,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 8.450175,
        "energy": 10.750604,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.43,
        "volume": 889865,
        "typical_volume": 951269.2,
        "trend": 9.537224,
        "fair_value": 7.957318,
        "relative_strength": -1.783665,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -2.810147,
        "energy": 13.082848,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.554667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.55,
        "volume": 815777,
        "typical_volume": 956178.5,
        "trend": 9.548468,
        "fair_value": 7.972623,
        "relative_strength": -1.474842,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.520994,
        "energy": 20.905751,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}