{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "27ba982c-5d76-484f-afc2-7efa0ab6bc4d",
    "symbol": "TUN",
    "name": "Tungsten West PLC",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 93.93,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 35.584,
    "architecture_energy": 16.962,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.801,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.009,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.13,
        "rotation_up": 34.68,
        "upward_expansion": 52.42,
        "deceleration": 66.37,
        "rotation_down": 24.02,
        "downward_expansion": 20.75
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.357933,
        0.355382,
        0.3632,
        0.357081
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.38,
    "trend_reference": 0.33325,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.140285,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.102262,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 2.71595,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 52.717519,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.310345,
    "excess_performance": 0.25911,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.140285,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.334673,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.71595,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.704698,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.527175,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.429797,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.310345,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.628421,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6681965,
      "relative_activity": 0.511281,
      "balance": 0.628421,
      "dry_up": 0.550278,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.103239,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.622519,
      "from_high_reference": -0.155556,
      "from_low_reference": 4.066667
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.33325,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.102262,
      "structural_low": 0.255,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.144737,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.154219,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.061538,
        "worst_return": -0.4,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.085213,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.123569,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.210526,
        "worst_return": -0.380952,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.776566,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.695617,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.957895,
        "worst_return": -0.404762,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.238095,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.151719,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.238095,
        "worst_return": 0.238095,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.1,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.571429,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.444444,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.076923,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.045455,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.363636,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.3,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.914286,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.269231,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.073684,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.042553,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
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        "return": 0.341463,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 2.391304,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 13888141.1,
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        "stage": 2,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.345,
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        "typical_volume": 13786165.05,
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        "fair_value": 0.098089,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 9.912347,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.34,
        "volume": 6846007,
        "typical_volume": 13511319.5,
        "trend": 0.324017,
        "fair_value": 0.10006,
        "relative_strength": 40.10087,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 4.51688,
        "energy": 6.013708,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.348467,
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          0.36169,
          0.353469
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.38,
        "volume": 6681965,
        "typical_volume": 13069064.45,
        "trend": 0.33325,
        "fair_value": 0.102262,
        "relative_strength": 52.717519,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.584441,
        "energy": 16.961667,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.357933,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}