{ "ticker": { "uuid": "27bc65d5-58bf-491f-ba06-c3f131743350", "symbol": "GRNG", "name": "Gr\u00e4nges AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.616, "architecture_energy": 42.819, "architecture_maturity": 24.846, "architecture_confidence": 82.257, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.52, "rotation_up": 57.1, "upward_expansion": 77.66, "deceleration": 61.55, "rotation_down": 19.46, "downward_expansion": 4.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 181.046668, 178.892728, 178.639963, 173.374783 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 185.100006, "trend_reference": 166.407801, "distance_from_trend": 0.112328, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 128.033131, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.44572, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.086097, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.188784, "excess_performance": 0.127289, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.112328, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.08909, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.44572, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038558, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.090861, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094804, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.188784, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.627878, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 432339, "relative_activity": 0.855533, "balance": 1.627878, "dry_up": 1.137689, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052216, "annualized_volatility": 0.292947, "from_high_reference": -0.045876, "from_low_reference": 0.65368 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 166.407801, "fair_value_reference": 128.033131, "structural_low": 131.636405, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.032838, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.026434, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.135185, "worst_return": -0.050095, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.068342, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.12321, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.21374, "worst_return": -0.055136, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.150754, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.123289, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.277181, "worst_return": 0.040971, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"energy": 26.998898, "activity_lines": [ 174.480002, 178.12, 175.35308, 169.953785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 181.199997, "volume": 552754, "typical_volume": 536618.65, "trend": 164.275043, "fair_value": 126.957194, "relative_strength": 10.957833, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.148882, "energy": 21.991056, "activity_lines": [ 176.700001, 178.261818, 176.525485, 171.137182 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 179.199997, "volume": 523547, "typical_volume": 519720.2, "trend": 165.342138, "fair_value": 127.466854, "relative_strength": 7.952391, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.793004, "energy": 28.61518, "activity_lines": [ 178.233333, 177.967272, 177.372333, 172.100082 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 185.100006, "volume": 432339, "typical_volume": 505344.8, "trend": 166.407801, "fair_value": 128.033131, "relative_strength": 9.086097, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.616399, "energy": 42.819326, "activity_lines": [ 181.046668, 178.892728, 178.639963, 173.374783 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }