{ "ticker": { "uuid": "27cf838b-5e63-4a26-a3b7-bff1b2575e86", "symbol": "ENO", "name": "Entergy New Orleans LLC Pref", "exchange": "NYSE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "model_version": "ta-0.1.0", "as_of_week": "2026-07-31", "benchmark": "SPY", "history_weeks": 344, "chart_window_weeks": 156, "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "stage_color": "red", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "stage_age_weeks": 11, "hard_stage_exit": false, "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "transition_score": 54.77, "is_transition_watch": false, "confidence": 96.0, "composite_score": 76.863, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_color": "red", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -74.4, "architecture_energy": 70.917, "architecture_maturity": 25.058, "architecture_confidence": 92.549, "architecture_age_weeks": 11, "is_reacceleration_watch": false, "architecture": { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.4, "energy": 70.917, "maturity": 25.058, "confidence": 92.549, "confirmation": 92.466, "age_weeks": 11, "candidate": null, "candidate_weeks": 0, "hard_reversal": false, "reacceleration_watch": false, "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Activity Lines are bearishly ordered below the 30-week Trend Line, their slopes are negative and price is accepted below the fan. Repair requires contraction and an upward fast/slow rotation\u2014not merely one strong week." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.26, "rotation_up": 16.55, "upward_expansion": 14.99, "deceleration": 39.38, "rotation_down": 66.03, "downward_expansion": 88.32 }, "activity_lines": { "5": 21.0928, "10": 21.200669, "20": 21.379811, "30": 21.549913 }, "activity_slopes": { "5": -0.8954, "10": -0.603837, "20": -0.691412, "30": -0.604259 }, "bullish_order": 0.0, "bearish_order": 1.0, "fan_width_atr": 1.472928, "fan_width_change_4": 0.386312, "fan_width_percentile": 0.817308, "fast_slow_gap_atr": -1.025083, "fast_slow_gap_change_4": -0.101783, "price_acceptance": -0.666667, "current_fan_distance_atr": -0.52458, "accepted_above": 0.0, "accepted_below": 0.666667, "crossing_density": 0.25 }, "interpretation": { "headline": "The primary weekly trend is declining.", "body": "Price below a falling 30-week average with weak relative performance defines the defensive state. Bottom-fishing evidence is kept separate from a confirmed Stage 1 repair.", "phase": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "Stage 4 decline intact", "transition_context": "The evidence score for the next canonical transition is 55/100." }, "latest_close": 20.93, "sma_30": 21.761967, "distance_from_sma_30": -0.03823, "sma_30_slope": -0.012323, "fair_value": 21.067397, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.006522, "fair_value_gap_change_13": -0.042785, "is_fair_value_repair": false, "mansfield_rs": -12.41504, "mansfield_rs_change_13": -2.769813, "range_position_52": 0.036522, "returns": { "13": -0.037241, "26": -0.057672, "52": -0.017842 }, "relative_returns": { "26": -0.142993, "52": -0.232677 }, "stage_scores": { "1": 62.29, "2": 8.67, "3": 46.0, "4": 91.33 }, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs 30-week average", "positive": false, "value": -0.03823, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "30-week slope", "positive": false, "value": -0.012323, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair 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completed weekly closes; Stage 1 repair measures whether price is below and rising toward that anchor", "relative_strength": "Mansfield-style relative performance line: ticker/SPY divided by its trailing 52-week mean, minus one", "classification": "Trend Architecture uses the Activity Line position as a direction gate, then classifies ordering, four-week slopes, ATR-normalized fan width, fast/slow rotation and six-week price acceptance. Ordinary regime changes require two completed observations; a fully aligned reversal beyond the fan can change immediately.", "architecture_boundary": "The green/red/orange Trend gate is derived from the same Activity Lines and is therefore not counted as an independent vote. Relative strength and volume alter confirmation, while point-in-time Fair Value supplies context rather than determining the regime.", "admissibility": "Stage 2 cannot persist when price is more than 5% below the 30-week average or 8% below current Fair Value, the ten-week average slope is below -2%, Mansfield RS is below -8, or the 26-week return is below -15%. Stage 4 requires price no more than 5% above the average, RS no higher than +8, and at least one deterioration test: slope at or below +1.5%, 13-week return at or below -10%, or 26-week return at or below -12%. 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