{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "27d03744-a922-4b4a-bd76-bad92832b60e",
    "symbol": "HEAL",
    "name": "GLOBAL X HEALTHTECH ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 83.419,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.453,
    "architecture_energy": 39.776,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.03,
    "architecture_confidence": 46.098,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.96,
        "rotation_up": 46.17,
        "upward_expansion": 71.57,
        "deceleration": 69.37,
        "rotation_down": 24.03,
        "downward_expansion": 9.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        27.50742,
        27.468353,
        26.647919,
        26.26447
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 28.5871,
    "trend_reference": 26.26142,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.088559,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 28.696283,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.003805,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -12.32483,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.076216,
    "excess_performance": -0.111237,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088559,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038545,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003805,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135308,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.123248,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.170409,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076216,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.117535,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 52666,
      "relative_activity": 1.266795,
      "balance": 2.117535,
      "dry_up": 1.038505,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.046816,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.263686,
      "from_high_reference": -0.146875,
      "from_low_reference": 0.242917
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 26.26142,
      "fair_value_reference": 28.696283,
      "structural_low": 23.0,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.002068,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024304,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.047013,
        "worst_return": -0.03502,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.045848,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.078585,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.049638,
        "worst_return": -0.056191,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.01819,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.179542,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.012409,
        "worst_return": -0.100937,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.065618,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.430151,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.056191,
        "worst_return": -0.187427,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.013065,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.03626,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.053554,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.105119,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.041879,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.052693,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.12961,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.012522,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.04581,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.018401,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008087,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.183535,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.107629,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.01247,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 30.203689,
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        "typical_volume": 162606.85,
        "trend": 34.790064,
        "fair_value": 45.096011,
        "relative_strength": -26.317113,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 68.517868,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "relative_strength": -25.099975,
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "relative_strength": -31.512565,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 26.680922,
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        "relative_strength": -12.871085,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 48914.05,
        "trend": 26.611339,
        "fair_value": 28.881058,
        "relative_strength": -15.991775,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.076646,
        "energy": 64.233314,
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          27.873033,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 27.44,
        "volume": 28629,
        "typical_volume": 44365.4,
        "trend": 26.536075,
        "fair_value": 28.83152,
        "relative_strength": -14.254625,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.340003,
        "energy": 66.931798,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.896793,
          27.084271,
          26.189845,
          26.103097
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 26.31,
        "volume": 51197,
        "typical_volume": 44113.0,
        "trend": 26.423593,
        "fair_value": 28.769755,
        "relative_strength": -15.82259,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.990225,
        "energy": 50.949075,
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          27.438553,
          27.076842,
          26.256857,
          26.088511
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 26.9077,
        "volume": 40208,
        "typical_volume": 41433.95,
        "trend": 26.34385,
        "fair_value": 28.721981,
        "relative_strength": -13.768856,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.135524,
        "energy": 24.857599,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.169007,
          27.138995,
          26.377482,
          26.119744
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.5871,
        "volume": 52666,
        "typical_volume": 41574.2,
        "trend": 26.26142,
        "fair_value": 28.696283,
        "relative_strength": -12.32483,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.452885,
        "energy": 39.776313,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.50742,
          27.468353,
          26.647919,
          26.26447
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}